Welcome back to Fantasy Baseball Now! The 2019 season begins next week and in earnest on Thursday, March 28, and over the next week we’re going to be posting our player projections by position.
Today, we’re going to cover the top 41 players at Shortstop, delivering full 5×5 projections and tiered rankings. This is the fifth position we’ve covered, and you can read the other four here:
We’ll have Outfield/DH, Starting Pitchers, and Relief Pitchers posted in the next 2-3 days. Additionally, the daily version of the Fantasy Baseball Now newsletter will return on Friday, March 29. Subscribe now by emailing firstname.lastname@example.org and putting “Subscribe to FB Now” in the subject line. You’ll receive daily insight on every game, as well as DFS and gambling advice, every day in your inbox by 8 a.m. Eastern time.
Here are the projections for Shortstop. Tiered rankings and analysis follows.
|First Name||Last Name||AB||H||R||HR||RBI||SB||AVG|
1. Trea Turner
Even before news broke of that Nats’ goal to have Turner to attempt 75-80 steals this year, he stood in this tier along with the player who we have ranked at the top of tier two. No other player in the league offers his level of upside in steals and runs scored, and there’s a case to be made to select him third overall if you’re confident you can find cheap power sources at bargains during your draft or auction.
2. Francisco Lindor
3. Manny Machado
4. Javy Baez
5. Trevor Story
Lindor seems to be progressing well in his return from a calf strain. No other hitter at this position, including Turner, offers the package of safety and five-category production that a healthy Lindor does. If he falls to the second round of your 12-team league, take him.
6. Alex Bregman
Our projection could be a little light on Bregman, but we want to see a full season of health and elite production before we take him over any of the guys in tier two. That said, if we’re talking about Bregman as a top-five overall pick next season, it wouldn’t be all that surprising.
7. Adalberto Mondesi
8. Jean Segura
Mondesi is essentially a high-risk version of Turner; we’ve seen skill sets like his bust horribly in recent years (see Villar, Jonathan), but the Royals have absolutely no reason to sit him even if he strikes out at a prolific pace and gets on base at a sub-.300 clip. Segura is a smart alternative to Mondesi that you can get 15-25 picks later; he’ll be hitting at the top of a stacked Phillies lineup, and even if he only gives you 17-20 steals, he’s going to be an elite source of runs and batting average.
9. Xander Bogaerts
10. Gleyber Torres
11. Jose Peraza
12. Carlos Correa
A tier of pure upside. We could see any of these four guys being a first rounder next year if they hit their 90th percentile projection. Based on his 90-ish ADP, Peraza is our current favorite, and he stands out amongst this group because of his borderline-elite speed.
13. Corey Seager
14. Tim Anderson
Seager fits in tier 5 in terms of a profile, but his injury history is more severe than, say, Correa’s, which drops him down. He should be ready for Opening Day, though.
15. Amed Rosario
16. Marcus Semien
17. Elvis Andrus
18. Jorge Polanco
Semien and Polanco are our two favorite values at this entire position based on their current ADP range in the 220-240 range. Both offer 15/15 HR/SB baselines with room for more, plus some general safety in their playing time.
19. Andrelton Simmons
20. Eduardo Escobar
21. Jurickson Profar
22. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
23. Chris Taylor
24. Willy Adames
We talked about our love for Escobar in the third base preview, but at short he sits in a tier with guys going 60-100 picks later that we’d be just as happy with. There are some playing time risks, though, especially with Taylor and Adames, who play for teams with incredible infield depth and designs on contention, meaning any early struggles could result in platoons or extended stretches on the bench. Adames is a tiny bit safer, though, as the Rays’ best alternatives at the position are at least a year away from a call up (Wander Franco and Lucius Fox).
25. Asdrubal Cabrera
26. Garrett Hampson
We aren’t buying in on Hampson due to playing time concerns, as the Rockies have a lot of bats looking for time (Ryan McMahon, Raimel Tapia included). Still, a full season of playing time would likely mean a top 15 finish for Hampson.
27. Marwin Gonzalez
28. Brandon Crawford
29. Zack Cozart
30. Paul DeJong
DeJong’s power upside is real, but we don’t see him getting more than 450 plate appearances without several injuries in the Cards’ lineup. It is insane to us that he is going 30-50 picks before Semien and Polanco when DeJong’s main skill (a 20-25 HR bat) is not hard to find in the player pool.
Orlando Arcia, Nick Ahmed, JT Riddle, Daniel Robertson, Tim Beckham, Jose Iglesias, Freddy Galvis, Dansby Swanson, Fernando Tatis Jr., Didi Gregorius, Scott Kingery