Daily Intel – 4/10/2019

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News From Yesterday’s Slate

Cleveland Indians – 8
Detroit Tigers – 2

  • Two big, but varying, injury items around the Tribe yesterday: SS Francisco Lindor did full-scale work before the game, including hitting and fielding, and there is fear that SP Mike Clevinger could miss up to three months with a strained back, which manager Terry Francona said will prevent him from any type of throwing for 6-to-8 weeks.
  • 1B Miguel Cabrera had his first extra-base hit of the season in this one, an RBI double. He’s still just slugging .289, but he’s posted some hard hits (12 balls in play over 95 mph). The problem with that is how often those hard-hit balls are being put on the ground as opposed to in the air. His 6.3-degree launch angle ranks in the bottom 20 percent for qualified hitters.

Toronto Blue Jays – 7
Boston Red Sox – 5

  • SP Chris Sale said after the game that he wasn’t sure if he’d “pitched like this in his life,” which is probably accurate but no less alarming after Toronto hung five runs on him over four innings. Now, all of those runs came on seven singles with no walks, but Sale isn’t generating much swing and miss from the opposition right now, which is forcing him to stay in the zone and risk getting hit. There have been reports that Sale was sick the last few weeks and wasn’t able to work between starts, potentially explaining his velocity drop. He can’t really be benched, we guess, especially with a two-start week looming next week with a home start against Baltimore and a road start against Tampa Bay included.
  • SP Clay Buchholz will make his debut on Saturday for the Jays, pushing SP Thomas Pannone to the bullpen.

Tampa Bay Rays – 10
Chicago White Sox – 5

  • Rays OF Austin Meadows was great in this one, going 4-for-5 with a home run, a steal, four RBI, and two runs scored. He’s heating up and is in a prime position to breakout getting regular looks at the top of the Rays order.
  • SP Blake Snell has become the beneficiary of a shortened rotation window for the Rays with some days off coming up. He’ll now start on Saturday at Toronto.
  • In his first start of the year, White Sox SP Ervin Santana displayed very little of the premium control that defined his best seasons in the majors, throwing just 45 of his 88 pitches for strikes and getting tagged for seven earned runs (including three homers) in 3 2/3 innings of work. He gets a two-start week next week home for KC and at Detroit. Great matchups, but there’s very big downside in starting him.

Oakland A’s – 13
Baltimore Orioles – 2

  • 1B/2B/SS Jurickson Profar had his first big game of the year in this one, going 4-for-5 with a homer, three singles, five RBI, and three runs scored.
  • SP Brett Anderson won for the third time in three starts, allowing two runs on seven hits over 6 2/3 innings, striking out four. He did leave the game with an upper leg cramp, but even if that isn’t serious, we’d be cautious having him in your lineup for his next start Tuesday against the Astros.

Miami Marlins – 0
Cincinnati Reds – 14

  • OF Yasiel Puig, the one Reds outfielder that didn’t enter this game in a massive slump, was suspended two games for his role in a weekend brawl with the Pirates. Perhaps not coincidentally, all three of those slumping outfielders had good games. OF Matt Kemp went 2-for-3 with a three-run homer and two runs scored; OF Jesse Winker went 2-for-3 with a two-run homer, three RBI, and two runs scored; and OF Scott Schebler, who in fairness has been better in his last few appearances, stayed hot with a 3-for-5 day that included a solo homer and two RBI.

New York Yankees – 3
Houston Astros – 6

  • Yankees SP Luis Severino will be shut down for another six weeks with a lat strain he suffered during his shoulder rehab. Considering he’ll have to start his prep from scratch, he’s looking at a return around the All-Star Break.
  • That news still probably won’t save SP Jonathan Loaisiga in his bid to remain in the rotation, as he could only make it through three innings last night despite throwing 71 pitches. He allowed two runs on four hits and two walks, striking out five. Loaisiga had shaky command all night, and he made a couple of mistakes with his best pitch, his four-seam fastball, by leaving it up in the zone for OF George Springer and 2B Jose Altuve to hammer with a double and home run, respectively.
  • Speaking of Springer and Altuve, they both reached base twice in this one and drove in two runs, and are now sporting OPS’s in the high-.800s (.863 for Springer, .878 for Altuve).

Minnesota Twins – 14
New York Mets – 8

  • SP Jacob deGrom lost his streak of 26 consecutive quality starts, allowing six runs on eight hits in four innings of work. This felt like a night where deGrom just had some bad luck; even though the Twins hit some balls hard and posted three homers, a double, and a triple on him, all of the pitches they did that on were down in the middle of the zone, which is usually where deGrom thrives. His next start will come Sunday night at Atlanta.

Los Angeles Dodgers – 0
St. Louis Cardinals – 4

  • SP Hyun-Jin Ryu was apparently feeling better yesterday after leaving Monday’s start with a groin issue. He is still likely to miss at least one start.
  • SP Clayton Kershaw went six innings and struck out six over 81 pitches at Double-A yesterday. He’s ready to return either Sunday against Milwaukee or Monday against the Reds, both at home.

Seattle Mariners – 6
Kansas City Royals – 3

  • 1B/OF Jay Bruce extended his AL-lead in home runs with a solo shot in the first inning, his lone hit in five at-bats. He added a second RBI on a groundout in his next at-bat in the third inning.
  • RP Anthony Swarzak earned his second save with a drama-free ninth, allowing only a single and striking out one.

Atlanta Braves – 7
Colorado Rockies – 1

  • A core injury that the team tried to describe as minor will still shelve Rockies OF David Dahl for at least the next 10 days. Dahl missed a large portion of 2017 with a stress reaction in his rib, so it is a little worrisome to see another injury in the same general area.
  • We mentioned in yesterday’s DFS recommendations that we loved SP Max Fried in this start at an incredibly cheap price, and he came through with six shutout innings (one unearned run) where he allowed only a double, four singles, and a walk while striking out four.

Washington Nationals – 10
Philadelphia Phillies – 6     (10 Innings)

  • Two aces did not have their best stuff in this one; for the Phillies, SP Aaron Nola had the ball put in play 22 times out of the 26 batters he faced, leading to five runs allowed (four earned) on eight hits and a walk over 6 1/3 innings. He struck out just two. The Nats did their biggest damage on Nola’s fastball, hitting it nine times on 33 offerings, including a double and a homer.
  • But Washington SP Stephen Strasburg was much worse, lasting only four innings and allowing six runs on six hits and four walks. Strasburg seemed to have found his four-seamer in his last start after struggling with it in his first start, but yesterday he threw it 31 times and only nine were strikes, with the Phillies putting it in play nine times.

Texas Rangers – 4
Arizona Diamondbacks – 5

  • SP Zack Greinke has now logged back-to-back strong starts after being destroyed on Opening Day against the Dodgers; he struck out nine yesterday over 6 2/3 innings, allowing four runs (three earned) on three doubles, four singles, and a walk (his first walk of the year).
  • Rangers RP Jose Leclerc entered the ninth inning with a two-run lead and allowed a single, double, and walk-off three-run home run to blow his first save of the year.

Milwaukee Brewers – 8
Los Angeles Angels – 11

  • OF Mike Trout left this game early with a right groin strain, going 2-for-2 with a run scored prior to that. He stayed in the dugout with the team and didn’t seem in major discomfort, though.
  • Brewers SP Freddy Peralta has now sandwiched two brutal starts between the eight-inning, 11-K gem he threw last week in Cincinnati. Yesterday was worse than his three-inning, four-run outing in his first start, as the Angels tagged him for seven runs on eight hits and a walk over 3 1/3 innings. Peralta’s four-seam fastball was generally being left up in the zone and the Angels pounded it, and for the night Peralta had just six swinging strikes on 92 offerings.

San Diego Padres – 2
San Francisco Giants – 7

  • Padres OF Hunter Renfroe stayed hot with a 2-for-4 day that included his fourth home run of the season.
  • That Renfroe homer was the only blemish on a gem from Giants SP Derek Holland, who struck out nine over seven innings for his first win of the season. Holland’s struck out 21 in his 16 innings over his first three starts.

Chicago Cubs

  • The team announced on its off day that SP Jon Lester will go to the IL with the hamstring issue he suffered on Monday. It seems most likely that SP Tyler Chatwood will move back in to the rotation for the first time since the middle of last season.

Daily Fantasy Recommendations for Wednesday, April 10 (NOTE: We use DraftKings prices and format, which means two pitchers are required)

Note: This is for the Featured evening set, which includes 9 games starting at 7:05 pm Eastern.

  • Catcher
    • High-priced option: Yasmani Grandal ($3,800)
    • Low-priced option: Francisco Cervelli ($3,300)
  • First Base
    • High-priced option: Anthony Rizzo ($4,700)
    • Low-priced option: Josh Bell ($3,600)
  • Second Base
    • High-priced option: Kike Hernandez ($4,100)
    • Low-priced option: Adam Frazier ($3,700)
  • Third Base
    • High-priced option: Matt Chapman ($4,200)
    • Low-priced option: Travis Shaw ($3,700)
  • Shortstop
    • High-priced option: Adalberto Mondesi ($4,400)
    • Low-priced option: Andrelton Simmons ($3,300)
  • Outfielder (three required)
    • High-priced option 1: Juan Soto ($4,800)
    • High-priced option 2: Bryce Harper ($5,200)
    • High-priced option 3: Aaron Judge ($4,400)
    • Low-priced option 1: Joc Pederson ($4,000)
    • Low-priced option 2: Adam Eaton ($3,800)
    • Low-priced option 3: Brandon Nimmo ($3,400)
  • Pitcher (two required)
    • High-priced option 1: Noah Syndergaard ($10,400)
    • High-priced option 2: Robbie Ray ($9,400)
    • Low-priced option 1: Yusei Kikuchi ($8,000)
    • Low-priced option 2: Frankie Montas ($8,100)
      • As you can tell by the prices, today isn’t the day to go cheap on pitching. A Pirates stack with some other cheap stars (Shaw, most notably) should make a higher-priced pitching duo doable.

Today’s Best Bets

  • Our favorite favorite: Milwaukee Brewers (-120) over LOS ANGELES ANGELS
  • Our favorite underdog: Pittsburgh Pirates (+140) over CHICAGO CUBS
  • Our over/under play: Cleveland Indians/DETROIT TIGERS UNDER 7.5 Runs

Yesterday: 3-0
Season: 20-15-1

Note: Best Bets section is for entertainment purposes only.

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