Daily Intel – 4/16/2019

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News From Yesterday’s Slate

New York Mets – 7
Philadelphia Phillies – 6

  • Mets RP Edwin Diaz struck out the side on 11 pitches to earn his sixth save of the year. With a pace of 10 wins in 16 games, Diaz is somehow on pace to pass his league-leading 57 saves number from last year, currently tracking to finish with 61. He’s struck out 13 and walked one in 6 2/3 innings.
  • On the other side of the coin, the Phillies big winter addition to their bullpen, RP David Robertson, was placed on the IL yesterday with right elbow discomfort that he said has bothered him sporadically since spring training. It feels short-sighted for the Phillies not to pursue RP Craig Kimbrel, as their bullpen has cost them games that could have them at, say, 12-3 or 11-4 as opposed to 9-6.
  • Mets OF Brandon Nimmo has hits in seven of his last eight games after reaching base four times yesterday on a solo homer and three walks, also scoring twice. He’s 10-for-25 over the last week with three homers, six RBI, nine runs scored, and five walks.

Toronto Blue Jays – 5
Minnesota Twins – 3

  • C Mitch Garver led off for the Twins in this one, his first time at the top of the lineup this season. He went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts but is still sporting a .423/.444/.885 triple slash.
  • We mentioned yesterday that 1B C.J. Cron is going to get hot and go on a homer spree at some point. It might be now. He hit another one yesterday, a three-run shot that served as the Twins’ only source of offense.
  • Blue Jays OF Teoscar Hernandez hit his first homer of the season, a three-run shot in the eighth inning that turned a 3-2 deficit for the Jays in to the winning margin of 5-3. He finished 3-for-4 on the evening.
  • Twins SP Martin Perez was sharp in his first start of the year after three relief appearances, posting a quality start with six innings of one-run work, allowing seven hits and two walks while striking out five.

Chicago Cubs – 7
Miami Marlins – 2

  • SP Yu Darvish walked four batters and hit one as well. Not good. But he struck out eight and got the win. Good! That’s what Darvish’s season has been and continued to be last night, pockets of good and bad. Darvish made it through 5 2/3 innings and actually hit 99 mph with his fastball at one point while throwing his last three pitches at 97.7, 98.7, and 98.7. It was his first win since last May. He gets another soft touch lineup over the weekend at home against Arizona.

Baltimore Orioles – 8
Boston Red Sox – 1

  • Orioles 1B Chris Davis hit a massive two-run homer, his first since mid-August 2018. As a result, Red Sox RP Heath Hembree was forced to retire in shame.
  • OF Dwight Smith Jr. and 3B Renato Nunez are building some under-the-radar value for the O’s offense. Smith Jr. went 2-for-5 yesterday with a double and a homer, driving in four. He’s hitting .270 with and 800 OPS in 68 plate appearances so far, and what’s impressive is that he’s struck out only 10 times and has walked five. Nunez has hits in nine of his last 10 games after going 3-for-5 with a double, an RBI, and a run scored yesterday. He’s striking out a bunch, with 16 Ks in 61 plate appearances, but his 48.7 percent hard-hit rate according to StatCast is in the top 15 percent in the majors.

St. Louis Cardinals – 7
Milwaukee Brewers – 10

  • OF Christian Yelich became the favorite to retain his NL MVP honor with a night of massive production, going 3-for-4 with three homers, a walk, and seven RBI. He’s now hitting .354/.449/.785 with eight homers and 22 RBI on the season. Others will challenge him, no doubt, but Yelich has proven his power breakout last season was anything but a fluke. He ranks in the top 10 percent in the majors in hard-hit rate at 54.9 percent.
  • Owners of Brewers SP Freddy Peralta may want to start looking for a new option to fill that roster spot. He was beat up yesterday for his third stinker start in four tries; other than his eight-inning, 11-K gem at Cincy on April 3, Peralta has worked 9 2/3 innings in his other three starts, allowing 14 earned runs and 25 baserunners, striking out only 11.

Kansas City Royals – 4
Chicago White Sox – 5

  • Royals RP Brad Boxberger blew another save after getting through a clean outing on Sunday, allowing two runs on two hits and a walk in his eighth inning appearance.
  • Conversely, Boxberger’s former Tampa Bay teammate, RP Alex Colome, remained perfect on his chances in the closer role for the Sox, striking out two of the three batters he faced in the ninth to earn his fourth save.
  • Sox C Welington Castillo was the man who did the damage to Boxberger, hitting his first homer of the season. Castillo hasn’t hit much so far with a .107 average and .214 slugging, but he’s drawn seven walks in 35 plate appearances. He should come around soon and regain the bulk of the playing time behind the plate from C James McCann. 

Cleveland Indians – 6
Seattle Mariners – 4

  • We preached patience in Sunday’s Intel on Indians 3B Jose Ramirez, and hopefully yesterday was the start of his emergence as the first-round pick everyone made him. He went 1-for-3 with two walks, a home run, two steals, and two runs scored. It was his first homer of the year, but he has balanced that from a fantasy value perspective with five stolen bases.

Los Angeles Angels– 7
Texas Rangers – 12

  • Angels DH Shohei Ohtani will face live pitching next week, another positive step on a potential early May timeline for return.
  • OF Mike Trout was effective in his return to the lineup after missing the weekend with a groin issue. He went 0-for-2 with three walks and two runs scored.
  • Struggling Texas RP Jose Leclerc was asked to get just one out to earn his fourth save after year, coming on after RP Kyle Bird was extended to 37 pitches and 1 2/3 innings in which he allowed two runs on three walks and a hit and left with the bases loaded and the tying run on deck.
  • Angels SP Tyler Skaggs was placed on the IL before the game with an ankle issue. He’ll likely miss the minimum 10 days, meaning two starts.

Cincinnati Reds – 3
Los Angeles Dodgers – 4

  • Reds OF Yasiel Puig returned to LA with a bang, hitting his second homer in three games after going his first 10 games without one. He added a double to that two-run shot and finished 2-for-5.
  • Other than the Puig homer, SP Clayton Kershaw was very good in his season debut, working seven innings on 84 pitches and allowing a double and three singles (plus the homer) with no walks and six strikeouts. He generated 14 swinging strikes.

Colorado Rockies – 5
San Diego Padres – 2

  • Rockies OF/1B Ian Desmond hit his first home run of the year, adding a double in four at-bats and driving in three.
  • And after a similarly slow start to Desmond, 3B Nolan Arenado is back on track, homering for the second consecutive game.

Daily Fantasy Recommendations for Tuesday, April 16 (NOTE: We use DraftKings prices and format, which means two pitchers are required)

Note: This is for the 7:05 p.m. Featured slate, which includes 13 games.

  • Catcher
    • High-priced option: Yasmani Grandal ($4,300)
    • Low-priced option: Tyler Flowers ($3,400)
  • First Base
    • High-priced option: Anthony Rizzo ($4,400)
    • Low-priced option: Matt Adams ($3,900)
  • Second Base
    • High-priced option: Brandon Lowe ($4,400)
    • Low-priced option: Robinson Cano ($3,700)
  • Third Base
    • High-priced option: Jeff McNeil ($4,300)
    • Low-priced option: Brian Anderson ($3,700)
  • Shortstop
    • High-priced option: Jean Segura ($4,400)
    • Low-priced option: Alen Hanson ($3,700)
  • Outfielder (three required)
    • High-priced option 1: Austin Meadows ($5,00)
    • High-priced option 2: Juan Soto ($4,700)
    • High-priced option 3: Joc Pederson ($4,800)
    • Low-priced option 1: Leonys Martin ($4,000)
    • Low-priced option 2: Hunter Dozier ($3,900)
    • Low-priced option 3: Jake Cave ($3,800)
  • Pitcher (two required)
    • High-priced option 1: Tyler Glasnow ($10,600)
    • High-priced option 2: Jon Gray ($8,700)
    • Low-priced option 1: Max Fried ($8,000
    • Low-priced option 2: Nick Margevicius ($7,900)

Today’s Best Bets

  • Our favorite favorite: WASHINGTON NATIONALS (-190) over San Francisco Giants
  • Our favorite underdog: Colorado Rockies (+120) over SAN DIEGO PADRES
  • Our over/under play: St. Louis Cardinals/MILWAUKEE BREWERS UNDER 9 Runs

Yesterday: 2-1 (hit on favorite and over/under)
Season: 27-25-1

Note: Best Bets section is for entertainment purposes only.

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