Daily Intel – 4/17/2019

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News From Yesterday’s Slate

New York Mets – 3
Philadelphia Phillies – 14

  • An unfortunate night for SP Steven Matz, who didn’t record an out before being pulled due to a combo of bad pitching and bad defense. The Mets committed three errors in the first inning, but Matz was still charged with six of the eight runs on his ledger, allowing four hits and a walk. His ERA climbed more than three runs and now sits at 4.96.
  • Phillies 3B Mikael Franco delivered the final blow to Matz in the first with a three-run homer. He finished the game 1-for-5 and now has six homers and 17 RBIs to go with his 1.015 OPS.
  • Mets OF Brandon Nimmo left the game after his first at-bat (a walk) with a stiff neck. He doesn’t expect to play today.
  • Phillies SS Jean Segura left the game with left hamstring tightness after batting twice in the first inning.

Toronto Blue Jays – 6
Minnesota Twins – 5

  • Twins C/3B Willians Astudillo is in a bit of a slump, going 0-for-4 yesterday. He’s gone 2-for-21 over his last five starts.
  • Blue Jays RP Ken Giles didn’t have the smoothest time closing this one out, allowing a solo homer to open the ninth and then putting two more runners on with a one-run lead before closing out the game. While he’s 5/6 on save chances and has an ERA of 2.00, he has allowed 13 base runners in eight innings for a WHIP of 1.63.

Arizona Diamondbacks – 9
Atlanta Braves – 6

  • Braves SP Mike Foltynewicz needs one more rehab start this weekend after allowing 10 baserunners and five runs over 3 2/3 innings in Triple-A on Monday. He’ll likely get his first start with the team on Thursday 4/25 or Friday 4/26.
  • Meanwhile, one of the potential arms that Folty could replace, SP Max Fried, did another nice job with run prevention yesterday, but he’s still not missing enough bats, striking out three over six innings to give him 12 Ks in his first three starts over a span of 18 innings. Fried allowed two runs and eight baserunners in six innings.
  • RP A.J. Minter had his second blowup in six appearances so far this year, allowing three earned runs on two hits and a walk in 2/3 of an inning. It seems unlikely the Braves trust him to be a standalone closer all season.

Chicago Cubs – 4
Miami Marlins – 0

  • Cubs 2B/3B Daniel Descalso led off for the fourth time in the Cubs’ last nine games, and he’s earned it with nights like yesterday, where he went 2-for-3 with a double, two walks, and an RBI. He’s now sporting a .341/.413/.488 triple-slash line in 45 plate appearances, and his ability to provide volume runs could make him an appealing option in some mixed leagues.

Houston Astros – 9
Oakland A’s – 1

  • Astros SP/RP Collin McHugh has three straight quality starts after shutting out the A’s for six innings yesterday. He allowed only two hits and two walks, striking out five. McHugh’s slider has retained all of the dominance it had for him in relief last year, which is making the difference as he works with a few ticks less velocity on his fastball thanks to that same transition back to starting.

Baltimore Orioles – 2
Tampa Bay Rays – 4

  • Rays ace SP Blake Snell suffered a broken right fourth toe in an apparent shower mishap on Sunday. He’ll miss his one start for this week but should be back next week and usable in weekly lineup leagues.
  • Rays OF Avisail Garcia is looking more like the 2017 version of himself that was a big fantasy asset than the 2018 version that shouldn’t have been rostered. He went 2-for-4 yesterday with a homer, three RBI, and a stolen base; he’s hitting .327 on the season and has five multi-hit games in his last eight starts.

Boston Red Sox – 0
New York Yankees – 8

  • Things aren’t getting any better in terms of the fantasy numbers for SP Chris Sale, who allowed four runs on seven hits and a walk in five innings to take the loss here. Sale was in the zone way too much throughout this 93-pitch outing, but his velocity was better and he seemed more confident in attacking batters, so there were some positives. You’re just going to have to wait this out with him. Odds are good that he’ll be just fine in the long run; whether “just fine” means a top-25 starter or the top-5 starter you drafted him as? We’re not as confident predicting that.
  • Yankees OF Clint Frazier homered for the first time in over a week, his lone hit in four at-bats.

St. Louis Cardinals – 4
Milwaukee Brewers – 8

  • It shouldn’t be all that surprising to read that Brewers SP Freddy Peralta landed on the IL yesterday with right shoulder inflammation, one day after he was awful for the third time in four starts this season. Manager Craig Counsell said it shouldn’t be much more than the 10-day minimum stay for Peralta, but shoulder issues never seem that easy or that far away from recurring. Again, he seems droppable in 12-team mixed leagues.
  • Cardinals SP Jack Flaherty has now split his four starts between duds (two of them) and gems (two of them); yesterday was the former, with the Brewers hurting him early and pushing him out after 2 2/3 innings. He allowed five earned runs on nine hits and a walk, striking out four. Flaherty is having serious home run issues, with the two allowed last night making it four for him in his first 18 innings. He allowed a 15.2 home run per fly ball percentage last year, so this isn’t exactly a crazy outlier.

Pittsburgh Pirates – 5
Detroit Tigers – 3

  • Pirates 3B Jung-Ho Kang ended his slump with a 2-for-4 day that included a two-run homer, his second of the year. He had gone 2-for-his-last-29 at-bats before this game.
  • Tigers SP Matt Boyd was really good again, going seven innings and allowing just five singles, a walk, and one other run on top of Kang’s two-run shot. He struck out seven, making him 4-for-4 on games where he at least had as many Ks as innings pitched.

Kansas City Royals – 1
Chicago White Sox – 5

  • Royals 1B Lucas Duda homered for the second time in three games, going 2-for-4 overall on the night. Duda is getting regular playing time over the last week, and he’s reached base 10 times in the last five games.

Cleveland Indians – 4
Seattle Mariners – 2

  • The Indians dropped 2B Brad Miller from their 40-man roster with the return of 2B Jason Kipnis, a slightly-surprising move but one that probably also signals the imminent return of SS Francisco Lindor. Cleveland clearly felt the need to add a different type of roster flexibility via its hitting spots, bringing up veteran OF Carlos Gonzalez to the active roster as well.
  • Kipnis is 3-for-7 with a double, a run scored, a stolen base, an RBI, and a walk in his first two games. Lindor, meanwhile, homered last night in his first rehab game.

Los Angeles Angels– 0
Texas Rangers – 5

  • Rangers SS/3B Asdrubal Cabrera hit a two-run shot, giving him three homers in his last four games and six on the season. He’s producing a lot of hard contact (46 percent), but his 25 percent strikeout percentage is a bit higher than it has been his last several seasons (18.1, 15.4, 20.1 the last three). Still, he’s had some bad luck (.176 BABIP) and there are balancing signs that he is in line for a very good season that merits ownership in all formats.

San Francisco Giants – 7
Washington Nationals – 3

  • Giants 3B Evan Longoria was the only person to get a hit against nearly-perfect Rockies SP German Marquez on Sunday, and yesterday he hit an opposite field home run against Washington ace SP Stephen Strasburg.
  • 2B Brian Dozier continues to slump massively; save for three-hit performance against Philly last Wednesday, Dozier is just 4-for-41 on the season in his other 12 appearances after going 0-for-2 with two strikeouts and a walk last night before being pulled for pinch-hitter 2B/OF Howie Kendrick. 

Cincinnati Reds – 1
Los Angeles Dodgers – 6

  • More positive injury news for the Dodgers’ rotation, as SP Hyun-Jin Ryu is likely to be back in the rotation as soon as this weekend after throwing a bullpen on Monday and not needing a minor league rehab start.
  • Dodgers OF Alex Verdugo had a double and three singles in four at-bats, leading the team with three RBI on the night. He’s hitting .375 with a 1.115 OPS.

Colorado Rockies – 8
San Diego Padres – 2

  • Rockies OF David Dahl should be back off the IL and in the lineup as early as tomorrow after missing the minimum with a core muscle issue.
  • Meanwhile, one of the playing-time beneficiaries of Dahl’s time off has been SS Garrett Hampson, who started in center field last night and finally deliver both his first homer and first steal of the season in a game where he went 2-for-4 with a walk and three runs scored.

Daily Fantasy Recommendations for Wednesday, April 17 (NOTE: We use DraftKings prices and format, which means two pitchers are required)

Note: This is for the 7:05 pm Featured slate, which includes seven games.

  • Catcher
    • High-priced option: Josh Phegley ($4,000)
    • Low-priced option: Buster Posey ($3,300)
  • First Base
    • High-priced option: Anthony Rizzo ($4,600)
    • Low-priced option: Brandon Belt ($3,900)
  • Second Base
    • High-priced option: Brandon Lowe ($4,600)
    • Low-priced option: Ben Zobrist ($3,600)
  • Third Base
    • High-priced option: Matt Chapman ($4,400)
    • Low-priced option: Yuli Gurriel ($3,700)
  • Shortstop
    • High-priced option: Marcus Semien ($4,200)
    • Low-priced option: Brandon Crawford ($3,300)
  • Outfielder (three required)
    • High-priced option 1: Juan Soto ($4,800)
    • High-priced option 2: Shin-Soo Choo ($4,500)
    • High-priced option 3: David Peralta ($4,600)
    • Low-priced option 1: Mark Canha ($3,900)
    • Low-priced option 2: Johan Camargo ($3,900)
    • Low-priced option 3: Billy McKinney ($3,500)
  • Pitcher (two required)
    • High-priced option 1: Yonny Chirinos ($8,000)
    • High-priced option 2: Cole Hamels ($9,400)
    • Low-priced option 1: Lance Lynn ($7,500)
    • Low-priced option 2: Frankie Montas ($6,800)

Today’s Best Bets

  • Our favorite favorite: NEW YORK YANKEES (-120) over Boston Red Sox
  • Our favorite underdog: Toronto Blue Jays (+130) over MINNESOTA TWINS
  • Our over/under play: Arizona Diamondbacks/ATLANTA BRAVES OVER 9 Runs

Yesterday: 1-2 (hit on underdog)
Season: 28-27-1

Note: Best Bets section is for entertainment purposes only.

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