Daily Intel – 4/22/2019

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News From Yesterday’s Slate

Arizona Diamondbacks – 1
Chicago Cubs – 2

  • RP Pedro Strop had a chance to get a save here, which would have been his third of the year, but he allowed a home run to Arizona OF Jarrod Dyson with one out in the ninth. Strop had gone five appearances prior to this without allowing a run, with four of those five being perfect outings with no baserunners allowed.
  • Dyson, meanwhile, has three homers on the season in 44 at-bats. Last year he had two in 206 at-bats, and save for 2017, when he hit five in 346, his current 2019 total surpasses every season of his career, five of which saw him tally more than 200 at-bats.

Kansas City Royals – 6
New York Yankees – 7     (10 Innings)

  • Two more steals for Royals OF Billy Hamilton, who reached base twice in four plate appearances, upping his OBP to .338 and his stolen base total to eight.
  • Royals OF Alex Gordon is slightly above league average in most power metrics, which provides some underlying reasons to believe in his current triple slash of .316/.398/.582, which included a three-run homer and a double yesterday, giving him four homers and 20 RBI on the season. The top part of the Royals order is pretty good, making it very possible for Gordon to drive in 85-90 RBI this year if he stays healthy.
  • This score does not do justice to another dominant performance by Yankees SP James Paxton, who unfortunately needed 104 pitches to get through six innings, leaving it to the bullpen to blow a five-run lead and costing him a win. Still, Paxton allowed only a double, a walk, and two singles, striking out 12 to improve his K/BB ratio to 43/8 in 29 innings and five starts.

Philadelphia Phillies – 1
Colorado Rockies – 4

  • With 1B/2B Daniel Murphy getting close to a return from a hand issue, SS Garrett Hampson is running out of time to be of any fantasy value this year with playing time likely to be scarce. He went 0-for-3 yesterday with a strikeout, lowering his batting average to .183 with a .485 OPS in 73 plate appearances, with two walks to 20 strikeouts.
  • Considering the circumstances, this was not a bad first start for Phillies SP Jerad Eickhoff since he replaced SP Nick Pivetta. He was a little shaky with his command, throwing just 54 of his 92 pitches for strikes and walking four over six innings, but he limited big damage with seven hits and four runs allowed, and he did manage to strikeout eight. He gets the Marlins next at home over the weekend.

Minnesota Twins – 4
Baltimore Orioles – 3

  • The Twins went in this order for the seventh through ninth innings: RPs Trevor May, Trevor Hildenberger, and Taylor Rogers. Rogers had some trouble in the ninth, allowing two hits, a walk, and a run, but induced a fly out with the bases loaded to earn his second save in two days.
  • Orioles 2B/SS Jonathan Villar went 3-for-5 with a run scored, an RBI, and two stolen bases. He stole four bases in this seven-game week and now has six on the season to go with his .274 batting average, three homers, 16 runs scored, and 10 RBI, putting him at eighth overall at second base and 10th at shortstop on ESPN’s Player Rater.

San Francisco Giants – 3
Pittsburgh Pirates – 2

  • Pirates OF Bryan Reynolds is 4-for-6 to start his career after picking up three singles yesterday. The 24-year-old was hitting .367 with five homers at Triple-A and should play every day for as long as OF Starling Marte is out after suffering an abdominal injury in a collision on Friday.
  • Giants C Buster Posey finally hit his first homer of the year, a three-run shot that gave the Giants all the needed offensively to win this game. He also had a double and a walk in five plate appearances, moving his triple slash to a still-paltry .227/.311/.364.

Boston Red Sox – 4
Tampa Bay Rays – 3     (11 Innings)

  • Rays manager Kevin Cash got too cute with his bullpen use in this one, pulling SP Tyler Glasnow after 20 batters, 76 pitches, and 5 1/3 innings, despite him only allowing one run on three hits and three walks while striking out five. The duo of RPs Adam Kolarek and Chaz Roe then allowed four baserunners and two runs in the final two outs of the frame, one of which was charged to Glasnow. Glasnow’s ERA now sits at 1.53 after five starts and 29 1/3 innings.
  • Red Sox 3B Rafael Devers still isn’t hitting for power, going 1-for-3 in this game with two walks and a run scored, but he did steal his third base of the year, giving him an unexpected piece of fantasy value early on.

Chicago White Sox– 3
Detroit Tigers – 4

  • Tigers RP Shane Greene worked a perfect ninth inning with two strikeouts to secure his 10th save of the year.
  • White Sox SS Tim Anderson came off his one game suspension and made an impact, reaching base twice and stealing his seventh and eighth bases of the season. He also drove in a run, his 13th of the year.

Seattle Mariners – 6
Los Angeles Angels – 8

  • Angels OF Brian Goodwin has not cooled down yet, going 1-for-2 yesterday with a solo homer, two walks, and two runs scored. He’s hitting .346 with a 1.050 OPS and nine RBI.
  • RP Cody Allen might be losing his grip on the Angels’ closer role. He was only asked to get one out last night to end this game, and he couldn’t get it done. He uncorked a wild pitch, then allowed a two-run homer, then walked the next batter before being pulled. RP Luis Garcia got the final out and the save, but he’s got more walks (seven) than Ks (five) in his first 10 appearances this year. RP Ty Buttrey could be the guy, as he has not allowed a run yet in 11 appearances and has 13 Ks to just three walks.

Los Angeles Dodgers – 6
Milwaukee Brewers – 5

  • In a matchup any baseball fan would pay the price of admission to see, Dodgers 1B/OF Cody Bellinger got the better of Brewers RP Josh Hader with the game tied and two outs in the top of the ninth, hitting a solo home run to give the Dodgers this winning margin. Bellinger finished 3-for-4 with a walk and three RBI, leaving the weekend with a .424 batting average, 11 homers, and a 1.382 OPS.
  • Hader, meanwhile, struck out the other three batters he faced and has 24 Ks in 12 innings this year.

Cincinnati Reds – 3
San Diego Padres – 4

  • Padres SS Fernando Tatis Jr. looks to be the new entrenched leadoff hitter, getting his fourth straight game at the top of the lineup yesterday. He went 1-for-4 with a strikeout but is hitting .291/.360/.595 on the season.
  • Reds SP Tyler Mahle took the loss here but is still doing some good things despite his 0-2 record. He worked six innings and struck out nine yesterday, improving his K/BB ratio over four starts to 24/4. He’s also gone six innings in three of his year starts.

Atlanta Braves – 11
Cleveland Indians – 5

  • Good progress from SP Max Fried in this game, as he struck out six in 6 1/3 innings to win for the third time in four starts. He limited Cleveland to two runs on seven hits and three walks.
  • SS Francisco Lindor led off and hit his first homer of the year, his lone hit in five at-bats.
  • Braves 3B Josh Donaldson is getting hot at the plate, hitting two homers last night, singling, and drawing a walk in five plate appearances, driving in four and scoring three times. Donaldson has hits in eight of his last nine starts and has also walked eight times in that stretch, boosting his OPS to .900.

Toronto Blue Jays – 5
Oakland A’s – 4

  • SP Aaron Sanchez’s battle with finger issues is back again, as he had to leave yesterday’s game after four innings and 59 pitches with a broken fingernail. Prior to that, he had allowed a run on two hits and three walks, striking out two.
  • A’s SP Brett Anderson also got hurt and left early, spraining his left ankle after 2 2/3 innings.
  • Toronto 1B Justin Smoak stayed hot with a 4-for-5 day that included a two-run homer and three singles. He’s got hits in nine of ten games and finished this seven-game week 10-for-26 (.385) with three homers and 10 RBI.
  • We needed to put that Smoak blurb in there to break up the endless string of bad news about starters that emerged from this series, as it was announced yesterday that Jays SP Matt Shoemaker tore his ACL in Saturday’s loss and will miss the rest of the year. An awful break for Shoemaker, who was pitching really well after missing most of the last two years with arm issues and only throwing 108 2/3 innings in that span.

 New York Mets – 4
St. Louis Cardinals – 6

  • Mets 2B Robinson Cano was hit on the hand by a fastball from St. Louis RP Andrew Miller and had to leave the game. X-rays were negative but he was seen leaving the stadium in a soft cast. If you are in a weekly lineups league, we’d sit Cano this week to be safe. Prior to that, Cano had hit a solo homer and singled in four at-bats.
  • Mets SP Noah Syndergaard has now allowed four earned runs or more in four of his five starts after getting tagged for four (six total) yesterday in five innings. He also allowed eight hits and two walks, striking out five. If you’re in a shallow league, we wouldn’t blame you for sitting Syndergaard for his next start this weekend at home against the high-powered Brewers offense.

Houston Astros – 10
Texas Rangers – 11

  • The Rangers pounded Astros SP Collin McHugh for 10 runs (nine earned) over 3 1/3 innings, as McHugh’s slider just didn’t have the bite it normally does when he’s sharp, getting put in play eight times, five for hits, on 34 offerings. This was McHugh’s first outing that could be classified as below average, so we’re not worried.
  • We are worried about Rangers closer RP Jose Leclerc, though, who threw 17 of his 36 pitches for strikes and walked four batters in 2/3 of an innings, allowing two runs, including a homer. His ERA is now 7.88. RP Shawn Kelley had to come in to close out the final out, but because he seems like the “relief ace” for manager Chris Woodward, Leclerc will likely get another chance or two to keep the closer role. Woodward said after the game he’d return Leclerc to the mound as soon as possible.

Washington Nationals – 5
Miami Marlins – 0

  • After three of his first four starts saw him allow four or more earned runs, SP Stephen Strasburg needed to produce the game he did yesterday, striking out eight over 11 shutout innings and allowing only two singles and two walks. Strasburg’s 4.11 ERA isn’t ideal when balanced against his draft position, and five home runs allowed in his two starts prior to this one is another red flag, but he’s still struck out 39 in his first 30 2/3 innings this year and is going deep enough in games to see a path to 200 innings this season, which would likely put him in the 250-260 strikeout range.
  • Nats 2B Brian Dozier may have started to wake up a little with this three-game set in Miami, hitting his second home run in three days yesterday. He also added a walk, just his fourth this season.

Daily Fantasy Recommendations for Monday, April 22 (NOTE: We use DraftKings prices and format, which means two pitchers are required)

Note: This is for the non-Featured 10-game slate, which starts at 7:05 p.m.

  • Catcher
    • High-priced option: Yan Gomes ($4,200)
    • Low-priced option: Christian Vazquez ($3,900)
  • First Base
    • High-priced option: Renato Nuñez ($4,600)
    • Low-priced option: Steve Pearce ($3,600)
  • Second Base
    • High-priced option: Danny Santana ($4,300)
    • Low-priced option: Joey Wendle ($3,400)
  • Third Base
    • High-priced option: Matt Carpenter ($4,000)
    • Low-priced option: Chad Pinder ($3,500)
  • Shortstop
    • High-priced option: Carlos Correa ($4,300)
    • Low-priced option: Zack Cozart ($2,700)
  • Outfielder (three required)
    • High-priced option 1: Clint Frazier ($4,300)
    • High-priced option 2: Trey Mancini ($4,900)
    • High-priced option 3: David Dahl ($5,000)
    • Low-priced option 1: Brandon Nimmo ($3,700)
    • Low-priced option 2: Ryan Cordell ($4,200)
    • Low-priced option 3: Ian Desmond ($3,900)
  • Pitcher (two required)
    • High-priced option 1: Mike Minor ($8,800)
    • High-priced option 2: Chris Sale ($8,600)
    • Low-priced option 1: Joe Musgrove ($8,100)
    • Low-priced option 2: Yonny Chirinos ($7,400)

Today’s Best Bets

  • Our favorite favorite: PITTSBURGH PIRATES (-140) over Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Our favorite underdog: Texas Rangers (+115) over OAKLAND A’S
  • Our over/under play: Chicago White Sox/BALTIMORE ORIOLES OVER 10 Runs

Yesterday: 1-2 (hit on favorite)
Season: 36-33-1

Note: Best Bets section is for entertainment purposes only.

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