Daily Intel – 4/23/2019

Want most of this information by 8 am Eastern every day (and earlier on most weekdays)? Subscribe to the email version of Fantasy Baseball Now by emailing fantasybbnow@gmail.com and putting “Subscribe to FB Now” in the subject line.

News From Yesterday’s Slate

Kansas City Royals – 3
Tampa Bay Rays – 6

  • With Tampa Bay OF Austin Meadows set to miss at least three weeks with a right thumb sprain, 2B/OF Brandon Lowe will be leading off more often. He did so last night and went 1-for-4 with an RBI double and two strikeouts.
  • C Mike Zunino returned from paternity leave and hit his first homer as a Ray, a two-run shot that went 425 feet to dead center. His bat is slowly waking up, as he also walked in this game and has a .208/.250/.396 triple slash.
  • The power bats for the Royals all stayed hot in this game, with OFs Alex Gordon and Jorge Soler and 1B/3B Hunter Dozier all hitting solo homers, their fifth, sixth, and seventh of the season, respectively. Soler and Dozier both added singles, and Dozier left the game early with back spasms.

Philadelphia Phillies – 1
New York Mets – 5

  • The Mets won this game but their best news of the day came beforehand when it was announced that SP Jacob deGrom’s MRI came back clean and that he will return to the rotation on Friday.
  • Meanwhile, SP Steven Matz got up off the deck after the Phillies pounded him for eight runs before Matz could record an out. His sinker generated seven swinging and 17 called strikes on 69 offerings, his primary offering as he allowed only one run on five baserunners over six innings, striking out six.
  • 1B/3B Todd Frazier made his season debut for the Mets and went 1-for-4 with a single and a stolen base.

Arizona Diamondbacks – 12
Pittsburgh Pirates- 4

  • Pirates 2B/OF Adam Frazier was back in the lineup after missing all weekend with back soreness. He went 1-for-5 out of the leadoff spot.
  • Also making his return, and season debut, was OF Gregory Polanco, who hit third for the Pirates and went 2-for-4 with a double, a single, a walk, and two runs scored.
  • Despite the blowout, it was actually Arizona SP Zack Godley who had the bad night out of the two starters, lasting only four innings and allowing four runs on seven hits and two walks, striking out just two. Godley relies primarily on his sinker and knuckle curve, and last night he generated just four swinging strikes on the 75 times he threw those two pitches. He’s got very few positives in his underlying numbers and we’d be fine with cutting him in all mixed formats.

Chicago White Sox – 12
Baltimore Orioles – 2

  • White Sox 1B Jose Abreu has hits in three straight after having his biggest day of the season yesterday, going 3-for-6 with a homer, two runs scored, and five RBI. Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile in the majors with a 51.8 percent hard-hit rate, and his 19.6 percent barrel rate is more than double his 9.2 career average that he entered the season with. His breakout is likely coming in the next few weeks. He left this game with a .214/.287/.417 triple slash, four homers, and 17 RBI.

Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox

  • This game was postponed due to rain and will be played as a day-night doubleheader today.
  • Sox SP Nate Eovaldi was placed on the IL after having a loose body removed from his right elbow. This is basically the same procedure Eovaldi had last season before debuting with the Rays, and things turned out ok then. That said, with a 4-to-6 week timetable for his return, Eovaldi is droppable in shallow mixed leagues.

Milwaukee Brewers – 5
St. Louis Cardinals – 13

  • Cardinals SP Jack Flaherty overcame allowing three homers to produce a solid outing, going six innings and striking out two. The three homers were the only hits he allowed on the night, with the fourth batter that reached on him coming via walk. It’s incredibly unlucky to have all four batters you allow to reach in a game come around to score, and Flaherty did generate a 20 swinging and 21 called strikes on 103 pitches, which is an elite rate, so we’d continue trusting him in all outings and would pursue him in a trade if you’re in leagues that allow trading. His 5.25 ERA will be at least a run-and-a-half lower by the All-Star Break.

Minnesota Twins – 9
Houston Astros – 5

  • Twins SS Jorge Polanco’s breakout season continued with a 4-for-5 night here that included a two-run homer and a double, four RBI, and two runs scored. His .420/.481/.768 triple slash will come down at some point, but his StatCast numbers all point to this being a real step forward; he’s in the 87th or higher percentiles in expected batting average, on-base, and slugging, and he’s in the 81th percentile in sprint speed even though he hasn’t stolen a base yet, so some of those will likely come soon.
  • Polanco hit behind OF Max Kepler, who led off and went 1-for-3 with a single, two walks, two runs scored, and an RBI in his first game since Thursday after missing the weekend with an illness.

Washington Nationals – 5
Colorado Rockies – 7

  • The Rox placed SP Kyle Freeland on the IL before the game with a blister problem, but he should only miss one start.
  • 3B Anthony Rendon sat out again with an elbow problem, but the Nats say he won’t need an IL stint. 2B/OF Howie Kendrick played third base and hit cleanup, going 1-for-4 with two RBI.
  • 2B Brian Dozier homered again for DC, going 1-for-2 with a three-run shot and two walks. That was his third homer in four games. He’s also walked three times in his last two games, doubling the walk total he had posted in his first 17 games of the season.

New York Yankees – 4
Los Angeles Angels – 3     (14 Innings)

  • RP Aroldis Chapman blew his first save of the year, allowing a run in the 12th inning on two hits and a hit by pitch. It was only his second appearance with a run allowed out of the nine he’s made so far this season.
  • Yankees SP J.A. Happ had his best start of the year, going seven innings and allowing a two-run homer in the second inning, but otherwise only giving up two singles and two walks while striking out five. All of his pitches remain slightly down in velocity from last year, but his primary offering, the four-seam fastball, is getting more swings and misses than last season, so we’d expect his 5.96 ERA to continue to drop over the next few outings. He’s got quality starts in back-to-back starts after opening the season with three straight outings of either four or 4 1/3 innings.

Texas Rangers – 1
Oakland A’s – 6

  • A’s SP Chris Bassitt was good in his season debut in place of injured SP Marco Estrada, throwing five shutout innings and striking out seven. He allowed a single, a double, and four walks. His cutter was his best pitch, generating five swinging strikes on 25 offerings. Bassitt does throw five pitches and has the ability to be a good streaming option in mixed leagues with the right matchup.

Daily Fantasy Recommendations for Tuesday, April 23 (NOTE: We use DraftKings prices and format, which means two pitchers are required)

Note: This is for the 13-game Featured set, which starts at 7:05 p.m.

  • Catcher
    • High-priced option: Yasmani Grandal ($4,400)
    • Low-priced option: Drew Butera ($3,300)
  • First Base
    • High-priced option: Justin Smoak ($4,700)
    • Low-priced option: C.J. Cron ($4,000)
  • Second Base
    • High-priced option: Brandon Lowe ($4,800)
    • Low-priced option: DJ LeMahieu ($3,700)
  • Third Base
    • High-priced option: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($4,300)
      • He is likely to be called up today. If he isn’t, Jeff McNeil ($4,100) is a good pivot.
    • Low-priced option: Travis Shaw ($3,200)
  • Shortstop
    • High-priced option: Tim Anderson ($5,100)
    • Low-priced option: Joey Wendle ($3,500)
  • Outfielder (three required)
    • High-priced option 1: Juan Soto ($5,000)
    • High-priced option 2: Khris Davis ($4,600)
    • High-priced option 3: Clint Frazier ($4,400)
    • Low-priced option 1: Ian Desmond ($3,500)
    • Low-priced option 2: Kike Hernandez ($4,100)
    • Low-priced option 3: Dexter Fowler ($3,600)
  • Pitcher (two required)
    • High-priced option 1: Luke Weaver ($8,100)
    • High-priced option 2: Trevor Williams ($8,300)
    • Low-priced option 1: Trent Thornton ($7,000)
    • Low-priced option 2: Erik Swanson ($7,700)

Today’s Best Bets

  • Our favorite favorite: NEW YORK METS (-125) over Philadelphia Phillies
  • Our favorite underdog: Texas Rangers (+125) over OAKLAND A’S
  • Our over/under play: ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS/Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 Runs

Yesterday: 1-2
Season: 37-35-1

Note: Best Bets section is for entertainment purposes only.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s