Daily Intel – 4/24/2019

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News From Yesterday’s Slate

Kansas City Royals – 2
Tampa Bay Rays – 5

  • The Rays used RP Emilio Pagan for the save for a second straight game, and he posted a second consecutive perfect frame, this time with two strikeouts. Pagan was the key piece of an offseason trade where Tampa dealt some prospects, so they clearly think highly of him and it wouldn’t be surprising at all to see him start getting chances when RP Jose Alvarado either needs a rest or is needed in a higher-leverage spot earlier in the game.
  • Rays ace SP Blake Snell will start today after missing one start with a broken toe. That puts him in a line for a potential two-start week next week depending on how the team wants to use the opener.

Miami Marlins – 3
Cleveland Indians – 1

  • Tribe SP Carlos Carrasco was dominating through four shutout innings, having allowed just two singles and striking out four, when he left with left knee discomfort suffered after he fell while covering first base during the fourth inning. He’ll have an MRI today.
  • Miami RP Sergio Romo looks to be the leader for saves right now, getting a clean shot at the ninth inning last night and converting with a perfect frame that included a strikeout. Since his first outing blowup that included four runs allowed in 1/3 of an inning, Romo has allowed only two runs in his last 7 2/3 innings, recording two saves in that eight-appearance span.

Philadelphia Phillies – 0
New York Mets – 9

  • Mets OF Brandon Nimmo left last night’s game after two hitless at-bats due to discomfort in his oblique. He is day-to-day.
  • SP Zack Wheeler carried the night for the Mets, striking out 11 over seven innings and shutting out the Phillies on five hits and no walks. Wheeler had all five pitches in his arsenal working, with four of them generating at least two swinging strikes and three of them generating at least five called strikes.

Arizona Diamondbacks – 2
Pittsburgh Pirates – 1

  • Pirates OF Gregory Polanco has hit the ground running in his first two games back, going 2-for-4 yesterday for the second consecutive day.
  • This game was the pitching duel we thought it would be, with Arizona SP Luke Weaver striking out seven over 6 1/3 innings of one-run work and Pirates SP Trevor Williams allowing only two runs on five baserunners over seven innings and throwing 72 of his 102 pitches for strikes.
  • Arizona RP Greg Holland remained perfect in the closer role this year, picking up his fifth save and maintaining his 0.00 ERA. He has 13 Ks in eight innings.

Chicago White Sox – 1
Baltimore Orioles – 9

  • Orioles 3B Renato Nuñez hit his sixth homer and drew a walk yesterday, boosting his triple-slash line to .292/.351/.528. He is top 85 percentile or better in hard hit percentage and exit velocity; if you’re looking for this year’s version of a power breakout like Brewers 1B Jesus Aguilar was last year, Nuñez might be your best candidate.

Atlanta Braves – 6
Cincinnati Reds – 7

  • Braves SP Mike Foltynewicz will make his season debut on Saturday at home against the Rockies. We’d be comfortable starting him in 12-team mixed leagues and larger. Anything shallower than that is a case-by-case basis.
  • RP Robert Stephenson has been tremendous in a flexible relief role for the Reds, and he struck out both batters he faced yesterday after coming in during the sixth inning for SP Sonny Gray, who himself K’d nine in 5 1/3 innings, further solidifying himself as a must-start option in all leagues. Stephenson is getting some buzz as a potential closer option, but once again RP Raisel Iglesias closed this out in the ninth and worked around a double to get his fifth save.

San Francisco Giants – 7
Toronto Blue Jays – 6

  • So, Toronto 3B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was in fact not called up yesterday despite that talk gaining steam on Monday. It still looks like it could happen at any moment, and Friday seems like the latest. In less positive prospect news for Toronto, 2B Bo Bichette, who was likely right behind Guerrero Jr. for a call up, broke his hand last night and will miss some time.
  • But hey, who needs them when you have 2B Eric Sogard, who again had a day of multiple times reaching base with a solo homer, a walk, and two runs scored. Sogard looks locked in as the starting second baseman and the leadoff man.

Game 1
Detroit Tigers – 7
Boston Red Sox – 4

Game 2
Detroit Tigers – 4
Boston Red Sox – 2

  • Red Sox SP Chris Sale was very good in game one before the bullpen blew it for him; he went five innings and struck out 10, throwing 72 of his 97 pitches for strikes and allowing two runs on five hits and two walks. There were still some instances of loud contact that don’t make us think Sale is all the way back to his elite levels yet, but he’s getting tons of swinging and called strikes (14 and 23 in this one) and his velocity is back on track.

Milwaukee Brewers – 3
St. Louis Cardinals – 4

  • If you’ve checked our DFS recommendations, you’ve probably been surprised with how often we’ve been recommending Brewers 2B/3B Travis Shaw, as his price has dropped to incredibly low levels. Well, this week is proving us right, as he hit two solo homers yesterday to make it three bombs in two days. Shaw’s hard-hit rate is 43 percent, which is above the 38 percent he posted the last two years, and while his 32.2 percent K rate is alarming, there’s nothing else in his numbers that explain why his poor start would be sustained. He should be on track now to get working toward the 31-32 homer range he was in the last two years.
  • Cardinals C Yadier Molina went 3-for-4 with two doubles, two RBI, and his first stolen base of the season. He’s got hits in 11 straight games and 13 of his last 14.

Los Angeles Dodgers – 2
Chicago Cubs – 7

  • Dodgers SP/RP Julio Urias made his first appearance out of the bullpen since transitioning out of the rotation after last week’s dominant nine-strikeout start, and he continued that momentum with two scoreless innings last night that included four strikeouts and only one baserunner allowed via walk. If you can hold on to Urias, we’d do so, because he’s definitely found something special in his arsenal and there will likely be another opening in the Dodgers’ injury-prone rotation.
  • Cubs 1B Anthony Rizzo has hits in four straight after going more than a week with just one hit prior to this stretch. He went 1-for-4 last night with a two-run homer, and he now has three extra-base hits in his last four games.

Minnesota Twins – 4
Houston Astros – 10

  • Astros SP Wade Miley is delivering some under-the-radar value so far this season. Yesterday with his third quality start out of his five, and he had a fourth where he went 5 2/3 innings with no runs allowed. He also struck out seven last night, a season-high, and once again only walked one batter; in his other four outings, he’s walked zero, one (twice), and two. Miley definitely deserves attention in shallow mixed leagues as a streamer, with his next three outings coming at home against Cleveland, at the Angels, and home for Texas.
  • Astros 1B Tyler White started for the second consecutive game and is slowly warming up, reaching base in all seven of his plate appearances over the last two days with three singles, a double, and three walks.

Washington Nationals – 6
Colorado Rockies – 3

  • 3B Anthony Rendon was out of the lineup again for DC yesterday, making it three straight days for him. He was supposedly available to pinch hit, so he could be ready to go today.
  • OF Victor Robles stole two bases to boost his season-long total to five, and he also added a double, a single, a run scored, and three RBI last night. Robles is striking out a ton (27 in 79 at-bats) and he isn’t hitting the ball very hard, but his speed is absolutely for real and the Nationals have no reason not to give him opportunities at the top of the lineup. He looks like a .260/.310/.440 type of hitter for this year, which would be a step down from his current .278/.321/.506 triple slash, but we’d also expect between 35-40 steals.

Texas Rangers – 5
Oakland A’s – 11

  • Rangers 2B Rougned Odor is set to start a minor league rehab assignment today and should return to the team this weekend after missing a few weeks with a knee issue.

New York Yankees – 7
Los Angeles Angels – 5

  • Strong outing for SP Domingo German, who won his fourth game for the Yankees with 6 2/3 innings where he allowed just an unearned run on four hits and a walk, striking out five. German’s curveball is a devastating out pitch, having generated a 53.1 percent swing-and-miss rate so far on 101 offerings. If he can improve the command on his four-seam fastball, German is going to be an ace-level arm within the next year or so.
  • Yankees 1B Luke Voit went 2-for-4 with two solo homers (his sixth and seventh), three runs scored, and a walk. He’s got a hit in 10 straight games and 16 of his last 17 games, though oddly enough last night was his first multi-hit game of the year, which explains how he has a .235 batting average despite the hit/game frequency.

Seattle Mariners – 3
San Diego Padres – 6

  • Padres OF Franmil Reyes went 2-for-4 with two homers and three RBI in this game; six of Reyes’ 14 hits this year in 64 at-bats have been homers, which explains his .219/.288/.531 triple slash. His StatCast numbers are outrageously positive, as he ranks in 95th percentile or better in exit velocity and expected slugging and expected batting average. Don’t give up on him if he’s on your roster, and if he’s available in your league and you can prioritize a bat to stash, he’d be at the top of our list. Padres radio broadcaster Ted Leitner said after Reyes’ second homer that he hits the ball as far as any Padre he’s seen in his near 40 years calling games for the team. Even with broadcaster hyperbole factored in, that’s a pretty big statement and one that doesn’t look inaccurate if you watch Reyes’ highlight reel.

Daily Fantasy Recommendations for Wednesday, April 24 (NOTE: We use DraftKings prices and format, which means two pitchers are required)

Note: This is for the seven-game Featured slate, which starts at 7:05 p.m.

  • Catcher
    • High-priced option: Gary Sanchez ($4,500)
    • Low-priced option: Wilson Ramos ($3,700)
  • First Base
    • High-priced option: Jose Abreu ($4,800)
    • Low-priced option: Wilmer Flores ($3,700)
  • Second Base
    • High-priced option: Jose Altuve ($5,000)
    • Low-priced option: DJ Lemahieu ($3,600)
  • Third Base
    • High-priced option: Colin Moran ($4,000)
    • Low-priced option: Justin Turner ($3,400)
  • Shortstop
    • High-priced option: Carlos Correa ($4,600)
    • Low-priced option: Gleyber Torres ($3,900)
  • Outfielder (three required)
    • High-priced option 1: Mookie Betts ($4,800)
    • High-priced option 2: Michael Brantley ($4,800)
    • High-priced option 3: Gregory Polanco ($4,300)
    • Low-priced option 1: Josh Reddick ($4,100)
    • Low-priced option 2: A.J. Pollock ($3,400)
    • Low-priced option 3: Melky Cabrera ($3,400)
  • Pitcher (two required)
    • High-priced option 1: Justin Verlander ($10,500)
    • High-priced option 2: Eduardo Rodriguez ($9,000)
    • Low-priced option 1: CC Sabathia ($7,200)
    • Low-priced option 2: Jordan Lyles ($7,400)

Today’s Best Bets

  • Our favorite favorite: SAN DIEGO PADRES (-170) over Seattle Mariners
  • Our favorite underdog: Milwaukee Brewers (+120) over ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
  • Our over/under play: Washington Nationals/COLORADO ROCKIES UNDER 11 Runs

Yesterday: 2-1 (hit on favorite and over/under)
Season: 39-36-1

Note: Best Bets section is for entertainment purposes only.

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