Daily Intel – 4/25/2019

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News From Yesterday’s Slate

Kansas City Royals – 10
Tampa Bay Rays – 2

  • Less than an ideal return to the mound for SP Blake Snell, who made a bunch on uncharacteristic mistakes in two-strike counts and ended up allowing five hits and two walks in 3 1/3 innings, leading to two earned runs and a short day with 65 pitches. The Rays were clearly being cautious with Snell here, and he’ll get another shot at the Royals, this time in KC, next Monday or Tuesday.
  • SS Adalberto Mondesi was the best bat in this game for the Royals, going 3-for-5 with a three-run homer and four RBI. He’s got four multi-hit games in his last seven outings.
  • The Rays lineup depth continues to be tested with another injury, as 2B Joey Wendle broke his right wrist on a hit by pitch yesterday and will be out for an extended period.

Miami Marlins – 2
Cleveland Indians – 6

  • Good news for SP Carlos Carrasco, who had an MRI that showed no damage in his knee. He’ll be able to make his scheduled start Sunday at the Astros.
  • SP Jefry Rodriguez started for Cleveland for the second time, and he was sharp, generating 15 ground balls and needing only 91 pitches to get through seven innings of one-run work that included three hits and two walks with three strikeouts.
  • 3B Jose Ramirez had his best game of the year so far, going 3-for-4 with a homer, a double, a stolen base, and four RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies – 6
New York Mets – 0

  • The Mets have started 1B/3B Todd Frazier in all three games since he’s come off the IL. 3B J.D. Davis is the bat most damaged by the development, as he likely gets relegated to two starts per week at best. Frazier went 0-for-3 yesterday and is 2-for-11 in his first three games of the year.
  • Phillies OF Roman Quinn isn’t doing much with his first shot at regular playing time this year. He’s started the last seven games for the team and is 3-for-25 in that span with 14 strikeouts and no extra-base hits or steals.

Arizona Diamondbacks – 11
Pittsburgh Pirates – 2

  • The consistency isn’t there in Arizona 2B/SS/OF Ketel Marte’s game, as evidenced by a stretch last week where he struck out 10 times in 22 at-bats, but he remains fantasy relevant in all formats with games like yesterday, where he went 2-for-5 with two homers and four RBI. Despite his plate discipline struggles, he’s now at .247 with six homers, 20 RBI, two steals, and 12 runs scored. That, combined with his position versatility, makes him a must-own player.
  • Arizona SP Merrill Kelly won his second game of the year with seven innings of two-run work. He did allow two solo homers out of six hits, but he walked just two and struck out five. Kelly’s stuff is generally average, but he does a good job putting away hitters when he gets ahead. He should be considered a high-end streaming option in shallow mixed leagues and a must-own in 12-team and larger formats.

Chicago White Sox – 3
Baltimore Orioles – 4

  • Baltimore RP Mychal Givens finally got his first save of the season, working the last two innings of this game and allowing one run on two hits and a walk. He struck out one.
  • The White Sox moved C James McCann in to the cleanup spot for this game and he continued his hot start to the year, hitting three singles and scoring a run in five at-bats. His triple slash is .349/.391/.535 so far in 46 plate appearances.

Atlanta Braves – 3
Cincinnati Reds – 1

  • Atlanta SP Mike Soroka has some minor issues with efficiency, but this was a second straight start that proved he should be owned and started in all formats. He needed 109 pitches to go 5 2/3 innings, but he delivered seven strikeouts and allowed one run on five hits and three walks, generating 10 ground balls.
  • Braves RP A.J. Minter was given the start to finish the ninth inning with a two-run lead and he converted, striking out one and not allowing a run or a hit.

San Francisco Giants – 4
Toronto Blue Jays – 0

  • Toronto will call up 3B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to start at third base for tomorrow night’s series opener at home against Oakland. He was hitting .360/.429/.640 at Triple-A, and it isn’t unrealistic to expect maybe 75 percent of that at the major league level immediately.

Detroit Tigers – 4
Boston Red Sox – 11

  • Red Sox 2B/3B Michael Chavis is going to be fantasy relevant for as long as he’s playing regularly. In his first five games with the team he’s reached base seven times, including a three-walk day yesterday that included two runs scored, an RBI, and a stolen base.

Milwaukee Brewers – 2
St. Louis Cardinals – 5

  • Brewers 1B/OF Eric Thames started for the second time in this series, and he is producing when he gets opportunities. He went 2-for-4 in this game with a solo homer and two runs scored, giving him three homers in his last 13 at-bats over a five-game stretch that includes two pinch-hit appearances.
  • Milwaukee signed SP Gio Gonzalez to a one-year deal. He was basically a streamer for mixed leagues last year after he was dealt to Milwaukee, and that status remains for him when he begins to take turns for the Brewers this year.

Los Angeles Dodgers – 6
Chicago Cubs – 7

  • Dodgers 1B/3B Max Muncy sat again yesterday before making a pinch-hit appearance and drawing a walk. Muncy is drawing regular work against righties, but he still has only one homer in the last two weeks, with only three RBI in that same span.

Minnesota Twins – 1
Houston Astros – 7

  • Astros OF Michael Brantley has homers in three of his last four games after hitting one yesterday as part of a 2-for-3 day that included two runs scored and two RBI. Brantley also has hits in 10 straight games and in 15 of his last 16 starts dating back to April 6.

Washington Nationals – 5
Colorado Rockies – 9

  • Rockies SP German Marquez is displaying the Cy Young-level form he had in the last two months of last season. He had another good start at home yesterday, going seven innings and striking out seven, allowing three runs on eight hits and two walks. He generated 14 swinging and 21 called strikes on 102 pitches.

New York Yankees – 6
Los Angeles Angels – 5

  • As soon as the Yankees get one starting bat back in C Gary Sanchez, they somehow lose another, this time OF Clint Frazier, who was placed on the injured list yesterday with a slight tear in his left ankle that he suffered running the bases Monday. It sounds like two weeks is the likely timeframe for him, with OF Mike Tauchman the biggest playing time beneficiary.
  • The Angels pulled RP Cody Allen from the closer role before this game, with a committee likely for the time being. RP Ty Buttrey, who we mentioned a few days ago as the most likely Allen replacement, actually worked 2 2/3 innings in this game and struck out three, but was stuck was the loss after allowing a run on two hits.

Seattle Mariners – 0
San Diego Padres – 1

  • Mariners SP Felix Hernandez was as much of a story in this one as Padres rookie SP Chris Paddack. Hernandez struck out eight over seven innings, needing only 75 pitches to get through his day and allowing only a walk, a solo homer, a double, and a single. Hernandez’s underlying numbers are still worrisome in terms of hard contact, but his walk rate is under three percent after it sat at 8.6 percent last year.
  • Paddack, meanwhile, dominated again, striking out nine over seven shutout innings, allowing only a single and a walk. He’s finished his five starts between 79 and 89 pitches, so there is an established ceiling as the team builds up his workload slowly. Still, he’s a must-start every time he pitches in a non-Colorado environment.

Texas Rangers – 5
Oakland A’s – 6

  • 2B/OF Chad Pinder’s breakout season for the A’s continued with a walk-off hit in this game, capping a 2-for-5 day. Pinder has three consecutive multi-hit games and five multi-hit games in his last nine starts.
  • Rangers OF Nomar Mazara hit two solo homers in four at-bats, his third and fourth bombs of the year. He’s middle of the pack in the majors in hard hit rate and hasn’t shown much power improvement in his other underlying metrics, so odds are decent that he’ll have his fourth consecutive season of exactly 20 homers, which would be as incredible as A’s DH Khris Davis’ four-season streak of finishing with a .247 batting average.
  • Davis, by the way, is at .232 on the season after going 0-for-4 yesterday. He has gone nine games without a homer and eight without an extra-base hit.

Daily Fantasy Recommendations for Thursday, April 25 (NOTE: We use DraftKings prices and format, which means two pitchers are required)

Note: This if for the non-Featured All-Day slate, which has eight games starting at 12:35 p.m.

  • Catcher
    • High-priced option: Gary Sanchez ($4,400)
    • Low-priced option: Robinson Chirinos ($3,300)
  • First Base
    • High-priced option: Mitch Moreland ($4,200)
    • Low-priced option: Joey Votto ($3,800)
  • Second Base
    • High-priced option: Danny Santana ($4,100)
    • Low-priced option: Tommy LaStella ($3,400)
  • Third Base
    • High-priced option: Ryon Healy ($4,100)
    • Low-priced option: Yuli Gurriel ($3,400)
  • Shortstop
    • High-priced option: Tim Beckham ($4,100)
    • Low-priced option: Tyler Wade ($2,800)
  • Outfielder (three required)
    • High-priced option 1: Mookie Betts ($4,700)
    • High-priced option 2: Andrew McCutchen ($4,600)
    • High-priced option 3: Brett Gardner ($4,200)
    • Low-priced option 1: Jesse Winker ($3,800)
    • Low-priced option 2: Gregory Polanco ($3,800)
    • Low-priced option 3: Delino DeShields ($3,600)
  • Pitcher (two required)
    • High-priced option 1: Aaron Nola ($9,100)
    • High-priced option 2: Luis Castillo ($10,000)
    • Low-priced option 1: Rick Porcello ($7,800)
    • Low-priced option 2: Caleb Smith ($7,300)

Today’s Best Bets

  • Our favorite favorite: CINCINNATI REDS (-140) over Atlanta Braves
  • Our favorite underdog: Cleveland Indians (+150) over HOUSTON ASTROS
  • Our over/under play: Texas Rangers/SEATTLE MARINERS OVER 9 Runs

Yesterday: 1-2 (hit on favorite)
Season: 40-38-1

Note: Best Bets section is for entertainment purposes only.

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