Daily Intel – 4/30/2019

Want most of this information by 8 am Eastern every day (and earlier on most weekdays)? Subscribe to the email version of Fantasy Baseball Now by emailing fantasybbnow@gmail.com and putting “Subscribe to FB Now” in the subject line.

News From Yesterday’s Slate

St. Louis Cardinals – 6
Washington Nationals – 3

  • Another night out of the lineup for 3B Anthony Rendon, who the Nats said will be re-looked for an IL stint today.
  • Cards OF Harrison Bader made just his second start since coming off the IL last week after missing two weeks; he went 2-for-3 with a solo homer and a single.

Cincinnati Reds – 5
New York Mets – 4

  • After three starts varying from good to great, this was a step back for Mets SP Zack Wheeler, who allowed four runs on seven hits and three walks over six innings, striking out only four. Wheeler’s stuff looks great, and the StatCast metrics back that up in terms of velocity, curveball spin, etc., but the mistakes he’s making are being hit very hard relative to last season when he broke out. Keep running him out there without hesitation, but pay attention to tougher matchups.
  • Struggling Reds 2B/SS Jose Peraza led off and went 2-for-5 with an RBI and a stolen base, his third of the year. Meanwhile, OF Jesse Winker hit the game-winning homer with two outs in the top of the ninth off Mets closer RP Edwin Diaz. It was Winker’s eighth homer of the year, and six of them have been solo shots.

Oakland A’s – 4
Boston Red Sox – 9

  • Boston DH/OF J.D. Martinez was back in the lineup after missing the weekend with back spasms. He went 1-for-4 with a run scored and two RBI.
  • Oakland 1B/2B/3B Jurickson Profar has to be in serious danger of losing his job on the basis of not just his poor offensive start, but his even-worse defensive start. He made his seventh error of the season last night, and that was one of two errors in the third inning that led to Boston scoring six runs, all unearned off SP Frankie Montas. Ironically, Profar actually had a semi-productive night at the plate, going 1-for-4 with a run scored and two RBI.
  • The Sox used RP Ryan Braiser in the seventh inning with two outs and the entire eighth inning, although it wasn’t an expected save opportunity until RP Hector Velasquez loaded the bases in the ninth inning and RP Matt Barnes came in to get the final two outs and his second save of the year.

Houston Astros – 0
Minnesota Twins – 1

  • Twins SP Jake Odorizzi had his best outing of the season, shutting out the Astros for seven innings on only four singles and a walk, striking out seven. Odorizzi has won his last three starts, going 18 1/3 innings in that stretch with only three runs allowed and a 1.09 WHIP. He’s throwing his curveball 17.9 percent of the time this year after throwing it less than five percent of the time over the last four seasons. The tradeoff has been less usage in his slider/cutter, but the early outcomes seem to be positive, as he’s increased his strikeout rate by two percent from last year and lowered his hard contact rate allowed by nearly nine percent.

Colorado Rockies – 1
Milwaukee Brewers – 5

  • Rockies SP Kyle Freeland was activated off the IL after missing two starts with a blister issue, and he did not have the same form he did in his last two starts when he allowed three runs over 11 innings and posted a 12/1 K/BB ratio. Freeland was hit hard early, allowing Brewers 1B Jesus Aguilar to hit his first home run of the season, a three-run shot, in the first inning, and then tacking a solo shot on the third inning for his second homer of the game (and the year). Freeland finished with five runs allowed on six hits and two walks in six innings, striking out three.
  • Brewers SP Zach Davies improved to 3-0 on the year with 5 1/3 innings of work, allowing only an unearned run on three hits and three walks. He only struck out two, though, and three of his six starts this year have ended with him striking out two batters or less. His 21/13 K/BB ratio through 32 2/3 innings makes him difficult to start in shallow mixed leagues.

Tampa Bay Rays – 8
Kansas City Royals – 5

  • The Rays called up 1B Nate Lowe before the game, adding their top power prospect to a lineup that has cooled a little bit in the last week. Lowe is a pure first baseman, which is rare for a Rays team that looks for as much flexibility from its bats as possible, especially when you consider that they already have a lefty-hitting power first baseman in 1B Ji-Man Choi on the roster. Lowe is going to get his chance to stick, but unless he dominates over the next few weeks, we don’t think he’ll have much value this year beyond AL-only leagues. All that said, the 23-year-old is a very real long-term asset, having hit .330/.416/.568 between High-A, Double-A, and Triple-A last year, with 27 homers and a sterling 90/68 K/BB ratio. He was off to a .300/.444/.543 start at Triple-A this year with 19 Ks and 17 walks in 90 plate appearances.
  • Lowe went 1-for-4 in the game last night with a double, a walk, and a run scored. Meanwhile, 2B Brandon Lowe (no relation) scored three times and stole his third base of the year, reaching on a single and a walk.
  • Royals OF Jorge Soler hit a mammoth home run, a solo shot and his seventh of the season, but he also struck out three times, giving him 16 Ks in his last 10 games and 45 on the season in 110 at-bats.

Baltimore Orioles – 3
Chicago White Sox – 5

  • White Sox 1B Yonder Alonso, who had only hit 10 homers off lefty pitchers in the last three years (266 at-bats), hit his third homer off a lefty yesterday, going 1-for-3 with that two-run shot and a walk. Alonso has homered in consecutive games and for the season has more walks (16) than strikeouts (15). He should not be discarded just yet in shallow mixed leagues.

San Diego Padres – 1
Atlanta Braves – 3

  • Padres SS Fernando Tatis Jr. sat out this game with hamstring problems after injuring himself on defense Sunday. There’s still an open question about whether he’ll have to go on the IL, and the team has more tests scheduled for today. SS Greg Garcia got the start at short and led off, going 1-for-3 with a walk and a run scored.
  • Braves OF Ender Inciarte left last night’s game after singling in his first at-bat. He had hamstring tightness, but manager Brian Snitker said the move was precautionary.
  • RP Jacob Webb got the save by working the final two outs. The 25-year-old has made six appearances since being called up in mid-April and has thrown 3 2/3 scoreless innings with only a hit and a walk allowed.

Los Angeles Dodgers – 2
San Francisco Giants – 3

  • Giants SP Derek Holland was placed on the IL before the game with a bone bruise in his pitching hand. He should be ready to return by next weekend or early the following week. SP/RPs Ty Blach and Tyler Beede could get turns in the rotation in the meantime.

Daily Fantasy Recommendations for Tuesday, April 30 (NOTE: We use DraftKings prices and format, which means two pitchers are required)

Note: This is for the 15-game Featured set, which starts at 7:05 p.m.

  • Catcher
    • High-priced option: Willson Contreras ($4,600)
    • Low-priced option: Austin Barnes ($3,600)
  • First Base
    • High-priced option: Jose Abreu ($5,200)
    • Low-priced option: Joey Votto ($3,900)
  • Second Base
    • High-priced option: Ryan McMahon ($4,300)
    • Low-priced option: Jose Peraza ($3,300)
  • Third Base
    • High-priced option: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($3,900)
    • Low-priced option: Travis Shaw ($3,400)
  • Shortstop
    • High-priced option: Tim Anderson ($5,400)
    • Low-priced option: Carter Kieboom ($3,900)
  • Outfielder (three required)
    • High-priced option 1: Bryce Harper ($5,100)
    • High-priced option 2: Jason Heyward ($4,500)
    • High-priced option 3: Tommy Pham ($4,700)
    • Low-priced option 1: Yasiel Puig ($3,800)
    • Low-priced option 2: Curtis Granderson ($3,300)
    • Low-priced option 3: Leonys Martin ($4,000)
  • Pitcher (two required)
    • High-priced option 1: Luis Castillo ($10,100)
    • High-priced option 2: Chris Paddack ($9,000)
    • Low-priced option 1: Griffin Canning ($7,800)
    • Low-priced option 2: Sandy Alcantara ($6,100)

Today’s Best Bets

  • Our favorite favorite: Los Angeles Dodgers (-165) over SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
  • Our favorite underdog: New York Yankees (+125) over ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
  • Our over/under play: Baltimore Orioles/CHICAGO WHITE SOX OVER 9 Runs

Yesterday: 0-3
Season: 46-47-1

Note: Best Bets section is for entertainment purposes only.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s