Daily Intel – 5/7/2019

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News From Yesterday’s Slate

Miami Marlins – 6
Chicago Cubs – 5

  • This wasn’t a pretty outing for RP Sergio Romo’s sixth save of the year, but he did strikeout three batters around allowing a single and a solo homer, which cut his two-run lead to one before he ended it. Romo has six saves in the Marlins’ 10 wins, and has proven himself roster worthy in all formats; he’s almost definitely going to be out the door in July for the trade deadline, so it would be smart to keep him in your lineup for the next 10 or so weeks, as his current pace makes him likely to give you 8-12 saves in that span.
  • Cubs 3B/OF Kris Bryant homered again yesterday, his second in two days and fourth in nine games. Bryant has hits in eight of those games and has also walked eight times in that span while driving in 12.

Seattle Mariners – 3
New York Yankees – 7

  • Mariners 2B/OF Dee Gordon went 3-for-4 with a solo homer and two singles. Gordon is triple slashing .297/.321/.406, numbers that would compare well with his career season in 2015 and his last good season in 2017.
  • Yankees OF Clint Frazier returned to the lineup and went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts.

Boston Red Sox – 1
Baltimore Orioles – 4

  • Red Sox SP David Price was placed on the IL yesterday with left elbow tendinitis. He said the injury does not feel like anything close to the elbow problem that cost him a large chunk of the 2017 season, and that he’s only expecting to be a couple of weeks that he’s out.
  • Orioles 2B Jonathan Villar went 1-for-4 with a his second career grand slam. Villar continues to produce despite spotty plate discipline, ranking 7th at second base and 10th at shortstop on the ESPN Player Rater.

San Francisco Giants – 4
Cincinnati Reds – 12

  • With Reds OF Scott Schebler demoted to Triple-A this weekend, 2B/SS Jose Peraza got a start in left field, his first start in the outfield since he made two in center in 2017 (he made 19 in center and left in 2016). Peraza continued to slump with an 0-for-3 day, lowering his triple slash to .185/.228/.269.
  • The man who precipitated Schebler’s demotion, 2B/OF Nick Senzel, had two hits and three strikeouts in six at-bats yesterday, but those two hits were solo homers. Meanwhile, SS Jose Iglesias, who has displaced Peraza as the regular shortstop, had his best offensive day of the year going 3-for-5 with a double, a triple, a single, four RBI, and two runs scored.
  • Giants SP Drew Pomeranz was crushed for seven runs on nine hits and a walk in 1 2/3 innings, allowing three homers. Pomeranz has had exactly one good start out of seven this year and should only be used in NL-only leagues.

Washington Nationals – 3
Milwaukee Brewers – 5

  • The Brewers used RP Jeremy Jeffress in the eighth inning and RP Junior Guerra in the ninth inning, despite having the lead going in to both frames. That, to us, says Jeffress probably has no value in mixed leagues, as the only way he’s going to earn saves with any sort of regularity is if RP Josh Hader gets hurt. Guerra closed the ninth with two strikeouts for his second save of the year.

Arizona Diamondbacks – 1
Tampa Bay Rays – 12

  • Rays OF Tommy Pham went 2-for-4 with a grand slam and a walk. Pham is a Top 15 outfield in all formats and is more valuable in points leagues thanks to his great plate discipline, which manifests itself in his 23/23 K/BB ratio.
  • SP Blake Snell had a perfect game for 5 2/3 innings before losing it on a groundball single. He left after getting one more out, capping a terrific bounceback outing where he struck out nine.

Kansas City Royals – 4
Houston Astros – 6

  • Astros C Robinson Chirinos went 2-for-4 with a homer, two runs scored, two RBI, and a walk, lifting his season-long triple slash to .269/.379/.526. Chirinos is starting two out of every three games behind the dish for Houston, which makes him likely to finish in the top 10 in the majors amongst catchers for at-bats. With that volume, he’s a good bet to be a top 5 catcher for fantasy in terms of production; even if his hitting pace slows down, he’s usually in a spot where he can drive in or score runs with regularity.

Atlanta Braves – 3
Los Angeles Dodgers – 5

  • With RP Kenley Jansen getting the night off to rest, SP/RP Julio Urias was given the chance to start the ninth inning, and he was perfect in converting his first career save. Urias has worked four times since moving back to the bullpen on April 23, going 5 2/3 innings and posting a 9/2 K/BB ratio. We’ve been inclined to hold him in 12-team mixed leagues, even as a reserve, but he’s still behind SP/RP Ross Stripling in terms of guys that will move in to the rotation if/when the Dodgers have a starter go down. You’ll have to judge your value of Urias based on your roster needs and current injury situation; he’s not working enough right now to justify putting in your lineup, but few relievers have his upside if he gets a more prominent chance through injury to a starter or even Jansen.

Chicago White Sox – 9
Cleveland Indians – 1

  • Cleveland SP Trevor Bauer was incredibly wild and ineffective in this game, as he allowed homers on his slider and changeup and couldn’t throw strikes with his four-seam fastball. The result was a short five-inning outing where he allowed seven runs on 10 hits and a walk. He struck out two. It’s the first time he’s allowed seven runs or more in a game since May 1, 2017.

Minnesota Twins – 8
Toronto Blue Jays – 0

  • The SP Martin Perez resurgence continues for Minnesota, with the lefty throwing seven shutout innings last night and limiting the Jays to two hits and two walks. He also struck out a career-high nine, quite the feat when you consider this was his 133rd career major league start. Perez is 5-0 with a 2.83 ERA, and while that level of success is not likely to continue, he’s showing enough swing-and-miss in his game to see him trending as a must-own in all formats, with some discretion in shallower leagues on what starts you use him in.

New York Mets – 0
San Diego Padres – 4

  • The Mets acquired SP/RP Wilmer Font from Tampa Bay, and he’s likely to get an immediate chance to impress as a starter in place of SP Steven Matz tomorrow. Matz was scratched from tomorrow’s outing due to a nerve issue in his left forearm, and he’s likely to miss at least two starts. SP Jason Vargas was also knocked out of the rotation yesterday due to a left hamstring issue, and right now it seems like SP/RP Corey Oswalt is most likely to take his spot in the rotation. Oswalt is a non-factor in all formats.
  • Padres 1B Eric Hosmer went 2-for-4 with a single, a double, two RBI, and a run scored, leading the offense in support of another gem from SP Chris Paddack, who struck out 11 and allowed four singles and a walk over 7 2/3 shutout innings. Hosmer has five multi-hit games in his last nine starts and has upped his batting average from .224 to .281 in the last 10 days, supporting it with a .452 slugging percentage. If Hosmer can keep those numbers up, his current #18 ranking at first base on the Player Rater will soon rise thanks to an increase in runs scored and RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies – 0
St. Louis Cardinals – 6

  • Cardinals SP Miles Mikolas needed only 98 pitches to get through seven shutout innings, winning his fourth game of the year after holding the Phillies to three singles. He struck out five and did not walk a batter. Mikolas is getting way more value out of his four-seam fastball this year, and even though it is about equal with his sinker and curveball for primary usage, that fastball improvement could be the difference in him retaining the high-end SP3 level he established last year.

Oakland A’s

  • The A’s were off yesterday, but got good news with 1B Matt Olson completing his rehab assignment and tracking for a return to the lineup today after missing the entire season with a hamate bone injury. These injuries are notorious for leading to slow returns to the guys who suffer them, so temper your power expectations in the first month or so of Olson’s season.

Daily Fantasy Recommendations for Tuesday, May 7 (NOTE: We use DraftKings prices and format, which means two pitchers are required)

Note: This is for the 13-game Featured slate, which starts at 7:05 p.m. Eastern.

  • Catcher
    • High-priced option: Buster Posey ($4,500)
    • Low-priced option: Robinson Chirinos ($3,900)
  • First Base
    • High-priced option: Brandon Belt ($4,400)
    • Low-priced option: Nate Lowe ($3,600)
  • Second Base
    • High-priced option: Jose Altuve ($4,300)
      • It feels like we’re recommending Altuve a lot, but this remains a ridiculous price when there are a dozen or so guys at this position more costly than him.
    • Low-priced option: Jurickson Profar ($3,300)
  • Third Base
    • High-priced option: Maikel Franco ($4,300)
    • Low-priced option: Rio Ruiz ($3,400)
  • Shortstop
    • High-priced option: Elvis Andrus ($5,000)
    • Low-priced option: Nick Ahmed ($3,800)
  • Outfielder (three required)
    • High-priced option 1: Bryce Harper ($4,500)
    • High-priced option 2: Steven Duggar ($4,300)
    • High-priced option 3: Ronald Acuña Jr. ($4,300)
    • Low-priced option 1: Kevin Kiermaier ($4,000)
    • Low-priced option 2: Jackie Bradley Jr. ($3,200)
    • Low-priced option 3: Avisail Garcia ($4,000)
  • Pitcher (two required)
    • High-priced option 1: Caleb Smith ($9,500)
    • High-priced option 2: Jose Berrios ($10,400)
    • Low-priced option 1: Cal Quantrill ($5,700)
    • Low-priced option 2: Mike Fiers ($6,800)

Today’s Best Bets

  • Our favorite favorite: Minnesota Twins (-140) over TORONTO BLUE JAYS
  • Our favorite underdog: Miami Marlins (+165) over CHICAGO CUBS
  • Our over/under play: San Francisco Giants/COLORADO ROCKIES OVER 10.5 Runs

Yesterday: 0-3
Season: 56-57-1

Note: Best Bets section is for entertainment purposes only.

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