Daily Intel – 5/14/2019

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News From Yesterday’s Slate

Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees

  • This game was postponed due to rain and will be made up as part of a doubleheader tomorrow, May 15.
  • Yankees SP/RP Jonathan Loaisiga will be out for an extended period with a rotator cuff strain.

Houston Astros – 8
Detroit Tigers – 1

  • For the first time this year, Tigers SP Matt Boyd failed to get to five innings, as the Astros waited him out and forced him to throw 96 pitches over four innings, hitting two homers and posting five hits and three runs overall. Boyd walked two and struck out two; we’d consider this a slight blip in an otherwise sterling record of performance so far this year, so continue to start Boyd without reservation this weekend at home against Oakland.

Milwaukee Brewers – 4
Philadelphia Phillies – 7

  • Brewers OF Lorenzo Cain went 5-for-6 with two doubles, an RBI, a stolen base, and a run scored. The steal was Cain’s first since a three-game stretch between April 2-5 where he stole three bases. Cain will have to get going on that front to produce his rightful draft value after stealing 56 bases over the last two seasons.
  • Phillies OF Bryce Harper went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts, his seventh game out of his last nine with two or more Ks. Harper swung and missed on 39.9 percent of breaking pitches last year; this year, that number is 51.1 percent, and pitchers are throwing him three percent more breaking pitches than he saw in 2018 as a result.
  • Phillies SP Aaron Nola needed 84 pitches to get through just three innings yesterday, allowing three runs on five hits and three walks. He struck out three. After two seasons where Nola had more than 51 percent of pitches end up in the strike zone, he’s been in the zone on just 45 percent of his pitches this year, and as a result hitters are being more patient and waiting to hit the balls that do end up in hittable spots. Until he improves his command, he’s going to be someone that you have to judge matchups on for elite lineups like Milwaukee.
  • The Phillies shut down RP David Robertson for three weeks after a negative visit checking on his injured elbow.

Oakland A’s – 5
Seattle Mariners – 6

  • A’s DH Khris Davis hit two solo homers in this game, giving him 12 on the season after he went more than a month without hitting one (April 12th was his last before yesterday). Davis has four multi-hit games in his last five starts.
  • Mariners 2B/OF Dee Gordon sat out again with a wrist issue, and SS J.P. Crawford got his fourth straight start, going 0-for-5 with a run scored and two strikeouts.

Pittsburgh Pirates – 3
Arizona Diamondbacks – 9

  • There’s not a clear path to value in the near future for Pirates SP Nick Kingham, as he continues to struggle with finding ways to miss bats and keep the ball out of the air, both as a starter and a reliever. In his second start of the year yesterday, he allowed seven runs on 10 hits and a walk in four innings, striking out just two. Kingham has a deep-enough arsenal to see potential future success, with five pitches that he could realistically throw with regularity, but hitters are making solid contact on him too often.
  • Arizona 3B/SS Eduardo Escobar went 3-for-5 with a homer, a triple, three RBI, and two runs scored.
  • Arizona OF Jarrod Dyson led off and went 2-for-5 with two runs scored and two steals. He has nine steals and 15 walks in 104 plate appearances this year; if you’re truly desperate for steals, Dyson is hitting well enough to see how he could work his way in to 400-450 plate appearances this year even without another major injury in Arizona’s lineup, and if that happens, 50 steals is possible.

Cleveland Indians – 2
Chicago White Sox – 5

  • Cleveland SP Shane Bieber allowed four homers in this game, leading to five earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. He also allowed a double and two singles, but did not walk a batter, striking out six. Bieber has allowed nine homers in his last five starts after allowing only one in his first three, and just 13 last season in 114 2/3 innings.
  • White Sox 2B/3B Yoan Moncada hit two of those shots off Bieber, also adding a single to his two RBI and two runs scored. He’s still had a rough month, with 21 strikeouts in 59 plate appearances, but he’s hit the ball better in the last week and should find his way out of it soon.

Los Angeles Angels – 5
Minnesota Twins – 4

  • Angels DH Shohei Ohtani hit his first homer of the year, part of a 2-for-3 day that also included a single, two walks, and the two RBI/run scored combo that came with the homer.
  • Los Angeles went with RP Ty Buttrey for two innings to hold their lead in the seventh and eighth, and after two clean frames Buttrey turned the ninth over to RP Hansel Robles, who saved his fourth game of the year, striking out one and not allowing a baserunner.

Daily Fantasy Recommendations for Tuesday, May 14 (NOTE: We use DraftKings prices and format, which means two pitchers are required)

Note: This is for the 12-game Featured slate, starting at 7:05 p.m. Eastern.

  • Catcher
    • High-priced option: Robinson Chirinos ($4,300)
    • Low-priced option: Willians Astudillo ($3,800)
  • First Base
    • High-priced option: Edwin Encarnacion ($5,000)
    • Low-priced option: Justin Smoak ($3,700)
  • Second Base
    • High-priced option: Whit Merrifield ($5,100)
    • Low-priced option: Tommy La Stella ($4,000)
  • Third Base
    • High-priced option: Matt Chapman ($4,500)
    • Low-priced option: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($3,500)
  • Shortstop
    • High-priced option: Carlos Correa ($4,900)
    • Low-priced option: Manny Machado ($3,700)
  • Outfielder (three required)
    • High-priced option 1: Michael Brantley ($5,400)
    • High-priced option 2: Hunter Pence ($4,800)
    • High-priced option 3: Eddie Rosario ($4,500)
    • Low-priced option 1: Steve Pearce ($3,200)
    • Low-priced option 2: Max Kepler ($3,800)
    • Low-priced option 3: Khris Davis ($4,000)
  • Pitcher (two required)
    • High-priced option 1: Chris Paddack ($10,000)
    • High-priced option 2: Charlie Morton ($10,500)
    • Low-priced option 1: Joe Musgrove ($6,500)
    • Low-priced option 2: Trent Thornton ($7,300)

Today’s Best Bets

  • Our favorite favorite: Cleveland Indians (-175) over CHICAGO WHITE SOX
  • Our favorite underdog: San Diego Padres (+150) over LOS ANGELES DODGERS
  • Our over/under play: Texas Rangers/KANSAS CITY ROYALS OVER 9.5 Runs

Yesterday: 0-3
Season: 66-68-1

Note: Best Bets section is for entertainment purposes only.

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