Daily Intel – 5/27/2019

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News From Yesterday’s Slate

Tampa Bay Rays – 6
Cleveland Indians – 3  

  • Cleveland rookie OF Oscar Mercado hit second in this game after sitting out on Friday and Saturday with a hip issue, and he went 2-for-4 with his first major league homer. Mercado ended up getting five starts in Cleveland’s seven games this week and had hits in four of them. He hasn’t stolen a base yet, but the batting order change and the playing time this week is a good sign for his future value.
  • Rays OF Kevin Kiermaier went 2-for-4 with two runs scored and, more important, two stolen bases, giving him nine on the year. Kiermaier is running at a level that he’s never shown in the majors, and if he can get his OBP closer to .325 from its current .301 level, he may challenge for 35 steals this year. He needs to be owned in all categories leagues.

Baltimore Orioles – 7
Colorado Rockies – 8

  • These two bullpens traded meltdowns, with Colorado RPs Bryan Shaw and Scott Oberg allowing three runs on four hits and a walk combined over 2 1/3 innings of work, and three Baltimore relievers combining to turn a 7-6 ninth inning lead in to an 8-7 loss, the last of which was de facto closer RP Mychal Givens, who walked two of the three batters he faced, with the third hitting a sac fly to end the game.

Seattle Mariners – 1
Oakland A’s – 7

  • Mariners 3B Kyle Seager started for the second straight game after coming off the IL on Saturday. He went 2-for-4 in that first game with a double and a run, and yesterday he moved up from sixth to second in the lineup and went 0-for-2 with a walk.
  • A’s SP Brett Anderson had his second good start this week after leaving his first one on Monday with a cervical strain after 5 1/3 innings of one-run work. Here, he limited the Mariners to one run over 6 1/3 inning, allowing five hits and four walks while striking out four. We wouldn’t start Anderson in his next outing, though, which comes over the weekend at home against Houston. After that, he gets another tough draw on the road at the Rangers.

Cincinnati Reds – 10
Chicago Cubs – 2

  • Reds OF Nick Senzel is still striking out way too much, with 12 in his last five games entering yesterday’s contest, but he went 3-for-5 in this game with a double, a walk, and four runs scored. He is clearly gaining confidence with his plate approach, as he has hits in eight of his last ten games, with four of those games being of the multi-hit variety. Senzel is crushing fastballs, with a near .600 slugging percentage on those pitches, and if he wants to trade some on-base percentage for more opportunities to swing what looks like a power-ready bat, that should result in him pushing his current .422 slugging closer to the .475 mark.
  • Reds SP Tanner Roark needed 102 pitches to get through his five innings of work, but they were shutout innings that included nine strikeouts, a season high. Roark has now allowed three runs or less in his last five starts, pushing his ERA from 4.08 to 3.20 in that span. He’ll get the struggling Washington lineup next at home on Friday, followed by a road date with the Cardinals.

Miami Marlins – 6
Washington Nationals – 9

  • Marlins SP Caleb Smith had his worst outing of the year yesterday, allowing five runs on five hits and two walks over three innings, striking out only one. Smith’s four-seam fastball was hit hard, with two extra-base hits coming off the pitch. He hasn’t gone more than 5 1/3 innings in his last three starts, but he gets a decent matchup next time out when he faces San Diego on the road on Friday.

Los Angeles Dodgers – 11
Pittsburgh Pirates – 7

  • Dodgers 3B Justin Turner had his best offensive day since his three-homer game earlier this month, going 5-for-5 with five singles, a walk, and three runs scored. Turner stole his first base of the season on Friday and looks healthy and comfortable at the plate.
  • Dodgers SP Kenta Maeda improved to 6-2 in his first start off a short IL stint, throwing five innings and allowing three runs on five hits, including two homers. He didn’t walk a batter and struck out four.

San Diego Padres – 1
Toronto Blue Jays – 10

  • A tremendous first weekend back in the majors wrapped up yesterday for Toronto 2B/SS Lourdes Gurriel Jr., as he homered for the third consecutive game and went 4-for-4 with a double, two RBI, and three runs scored. Gurriel should be outfield eligible soon and is a great lottery ticket to grab if he was dropped in your league.
  • Toronto 2B Cavan Biggio had his first major league hit and homer in this game, going 3-for-4 with that solo shot and a second RBI on a single.

Detroit Tigers – 3
New York Mets – 4

  • Mets OF Carlos Gomez went 1-for-3 with two strikeouts, but more interestingly is that he stole his second base in the last four games. He started all seven games for the Mets this week and at 33 years old, it isn’t insane to see him being a good power/speed source, considering he had 17 homers/13 steals in a 368 at-bat season in 2017.
  • Tigers 3B/OF Nick Castellanos is heating up a bit, with hits in seven straight games after going 2-for-4 yesterday with a homer and three RBI.

Boston Red Sox – 4
Houston Astros – 1

  • RP Marcus Walden saved his first game of the season with RP Matt Barnes getting the eighth inning to set him up. Walden threw eight of his nine pitches for strikes and struck out one, giving him a 34/7 K/BB ratio over 30 1/3 innings this year. Walden should be owned in all formats as a potential saves source on a very good team.

Philadelphia Phillies – 1
Milwaukee Brewers – 9

  • Phillies OF Bryce Harper went 0-for-3 with three strikeouts, making it four straight games for him with multiple strikeouts. His current strikeout percentage is 30.3, which is way above the 24.3 it was last year, the 20.1 it was in 2017, and the 20 percent it was in his MVP season of 2015.
  • Milwaukee SP Brandon Woodruff was the one who struck out Harper those three times, and he had seven more strikeouts on the day to give him a career-high 10 over eight innings, which matches a career high that Woodruff set…last Sunday, against Atlanta. He is absolutely dominating right now and needs to be started in all situations.

Chicago White Sox – 0
Minnesota Twins – 7

  • Twins SP Jake Odorizzi sparkled again to improve to 7-2, striking out nine over 5 1/3 one-hit, shutout innings. He walked one batter.
  • Twins OF Byron Buxton stole his ninth base of the season after reaching base on a single, his lone hit in three at-bats. He also scored two runs; Buxton had a slow week, going 2-for-18 in five starts.

Atlanta Braves – 4
St. Louis Cardinals – 3      (10 Innings)

  • RP Luke Jackson got a chance to bounce back and earn his seventh save of the year after blowing his last two save chances on May 18 and May 21. He struck out two around a single in the 10th inning to close this game out.

New York Yankees – 7
Kansas City Royals – 8     

  • The Royals, of all teams, were the ones to hand Yankees SP Domingo German his first truly disastrous start of the season, pounding four homers off of him in five innings. That, combined with five other hits, led to seven runs. German did strikeout six and did not walk anyone.
  • Royals RP Ian Kennedy blew the big lead the Royals built up with an awful ninth innings, allowing three runs on four hits and a walk. Kennedy has now allowed multiple runs in three of his last seven appearances.

Texas Rangers – 6
Los Angeles Angels – 7

  • Angels RP Justin Anderson has allowed runs in each of his last three appearances, but he did convert his first save chance of the season yesterday, allowing a walk and an RBI double, but striking out two to finish out the game. He needed 28 pitches to do it. Anderson does have 29 Ks in 18 1/3 innings, so if he can get semi-regular save chances, it might be worth dealing with the potential run blowups to get saves and Ks.

Arizona Diamondbacks – 6
San Francisco Giants – 2

  • Arizona RP Greg Holland worked the last two outs of this game to get his first save since May 3, and his eighth of the season. Holland blew a save on May 8, and his last four appearances since then were all in non-save situations.
  • Arizona 1B Christian Walker went 0-for-3 and has three hits in his last 10 games, a span of 35 at-bats.
  • Arizona SP Luke Weaver left this game with right forearm tightness, and an MRI will determine if the injury is a sign of elbow ligament damage or something less severe.

Daily Fantasy Recommendations for Monday, May 27 (NOTE: We use DraftKings prices and format, which means two pitchers are required)

Note: This is for the 10-game Featured set that starts at 1:05 p.m. Eastern.

  • Catcher
    • High-priced option: Gary Sanchez ($5,500)
    • Low-priced option: Tony Wolters ($3,500)
  • First Base
    • High-priced option: Daniel Murphy ($4,200)
    • Low-priced option: Joey Votto ($3,700)
  • Second Base
    • High-priced option: Whit Merrifield ($5,300)
    • Low-priced option: Brendan Rodgers ($4,000)
  • Third Base
    • High-priced option: Rafael Devers ($5,300)
    • Low-priced option: Matt Chapman ($3,900)
  • Shortstop
    • High-priced option: Trea Turner ($4,800)
    • Low-priced option: Willy Adames ($3,600)
  • Outfielder (three required)
    • High-priced option 1: Michael Brantley ($4,300)
    • High-priced option 2: Nick Senzel ($4,500)
    • High-priced option 3: Juan Soto ($5,400)
    • Low-priced option 1: Nick Castellanos ($4,000)
    • Low-priced option 2: Shohei Ohtani ($3,500)
    • Low-priced option 3: Chad Pinder ($3,500)
  • Pitcher (two required)
    • High-priced option 1: Max Scherzer ($11,100)
    • High-priced option 2: Luis Castillo ($10,700)
    • Low-priced option 1: Yonny Chirinos ($7,900)
    • Low-priced option 2: Rick Porcello ($7,300)

Today’s Best Bets

  • Our favorite favorite: HOUSTON ASTROS (-180) over Chicago Cubs
  • Our favorite underdog: New York Mets (+150) over LOS ANGELES DODGERS
  • Our over/under play: Kansas City Royals/CHICAGO WHITE SOX OVER 10 Runs

Yesterday: 1-2 (hit on favorite)
Season: 84-85-1

 

 

 

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